You might also be able to trade the FTSE 100 on other spread betting websites.
UK Stock Market Analysis and Trading News
[4:16pm] Heading into the close, the FTSE 100 is feeling the effect of declining oil prices, as the impact of the OPEC meeting makes itself felt in energy stocks.
Mining stocks have been serial underperformers in recent months, hobbling the FTSE's attempts to rally along with other indices, and now it looks like oil firms will join them as a drag on performance.
Clearly firms with a focus on consumer spending will be indirect beneficiaries of increased spending thanks to lower petrol prices, but the good done in this way is going to be cancelled out by the baleful impact on earnings in the raw material and energy sectors.
The net result may well be that the UK's leading index is about to enter a period of stagnation, being left behind by its European and American cousins.
One company that is rising today is water firm Pennon, which has earned the approval of shareholders with a dividend hike.
The shares have comfortably beaten the FTSE 100 and the FTSE 250, both of which are fractionally down for the year, while Pennon shares have rallied 36%.
Update by Chris Beauchamp, Market Analyst,
[4:02pm] European Stock Markets
Shares in Europe flat lined on Friday after OPEC's decision not to cut production sent oil stocks lower but travel and leisure shares higher.
Consumer prices dropped across the Eurozone as employment data suggests a divide is re-emerging between the German and other core European economies.
Unemployment rose to new highs in Italy in stark contrast to a new record low in unemployment reported for Germany this week, today also saw an acceleration in German retail sales growth.
In November surveys showed the first rebound in business and investor confidence in Germany for many months as concerns eased over political tension with Russia.
UK shares fell as a report indicated consumer confidence fell in November leading to a decline in supermarkets Sainsbury's and Tesco while some electronics retailers traded higher on the prospect of a holiday revenue-boost from Black Friday sales.
The Black Friday shopping weekend is fast becoming one of the most important days in the calendar for retailers as customers lined up outside and in some cases mauled shops on the hunt for deals.
If consumer behaviour moves from shopping in the January sales to Black Friday, those retailers who don't draw in the shoppers on Black Friday stand to miss out.
Carnival and TUI Travel shares were higher as lower oil prices translate into lower fuelling costs for cruise ships and airlines which should act to encourage travel.
Even if oil prices weren't to fall any further, at $70 per barrel, consumers should be paying a lot less at the pump giving them a wealth effect they can use to boost consumption heading into the holiday sales period.
Having rallied on Thursday after the OPEC decision, airlines easyJet and British Airways-owner IAG were still trading positively with the latter having made new seven year highs.
Update by Jasper Lawler, Market Analyst,
[10:17am] Oil sector stocks have driven the FTSE lower, and in the first couple of hours we are down by 38 points.
The effects of yesterday's OPEC decision to maintain its oil output is still working its way through the markets today.
Eurozone inflation figures are first up today and these latest deflationary developments are unlikely to have worked their way into the figures just yet.
Today has seen both France and Italy post record levels of unemployment in the same week that Germany has posted record low levels.
A clear signal that the Eurozone dream still needs tweaking.
The template for equity markets today has been clear from the beginning.
Oil and energy manufacturers are down, while those companies that are oil consumers are up.
Airlines are flying with the biggest cost now dropping into the $60 a barrel region, a 40% fall in the last five months.
Any doubts that the UK, and more specifically UK retailers, would wholeheartedly join in the US obsession with Black Friday have been quashed.
The feeding frenzy that appears to be happening in shopping malls up and down the country should ensure festive sales for the retail sectors get off to a flying start.
Update by Alastair McCaig, Market Analyst,
[9:41am] Like yesterday, oil's leaky ship has had a negative impact on the FTSE, as the UK index struggles to bear the weight of its multiple energy and oil companies.
Weak housing price growth data and companies like Premier Oil haemorrhaging shares meant the FTSE continued its week-long poor performance.
The low price of oil has renewed European fears of deflation; the Eurozone will be hoping that the worsening oil situation will force Draghi and co to play their stimulus hand earlier than the first quarter of 2015 suggested by ECB Vice President Constancio.
Unlike the FTSE, stocks like Japan Airlines and Nippon Airway jumping by around 5% and 7% respectively meant that the Nikkei 225 could swerve the major effects of oil's downward trajectory, closing at a two week high.
Gold has struggled to rise above the $1,200 per ounce level recently, and is looking to the Swiss gold referendum on Sunday for help, much like oil looked to OPEC for assistance.
However, like OPEC's lack of aid to oil, gold looks set for another slight fall as Switzerland look likely to vote 'no' to increasing, and repatriating, its gold reserves.
Finally, with the US markets re-opening on shortened hours later today after, it will be interesting to see whether the Dow Jones can continue its record run in the face of the OPEC-inspired oil decline, and the lingering effects of poor US data earlier in the week.
Update by Connor Campbell, Financial Analyst,
FTSE 100 Daily Market Analysis
The FTSE 100 is currently trading at 6,703.0.
Overnight, the market closed down -23.6pts (-0.35%) at 6,716.9.
30 Minute Indicator Analysis
The index is trading below the 20-period MA of 6,713.9 and below the 50-period MA of 6,723.9.
1 Day Indicator Analysis
The index is currently above the 20-day MA of 6,644.6 and above the 50-day MA of 6,528.0.
Update by Gordon Childs, Editor,
[7:44am] FTSE 100 Technical Analysis (30 mins chart)
FTSE 100 pivot point: 6690
Our preference: Long positions above 6690 with targets @ 6760 & 6775 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Below 6690 look for further downside with 6643 & 6615 as targets.
Comment: Even though a continuation of the consolidation cannot be ruled out, its extent should be limited.
[7:44am] UK Shares - Crossing Over their 50 Day Moving Average:
Britvic (+3.89% to 680.5p)
Kingfisher (+1% to 301.7p)
RSA Insurance (+1.18% to 472.1p)
Stagecoach Group (+8.22% to 400.4p)
Shire (+1.44% to 4578p)
UK Shares - Crossing Under their 50 Day Moving Average:
Amec Foster Wheeler (-4.71% to 995p)
Cairn Energy (-3.74% to 167.2p)
Fresnillo (-3.18% to 731p)
Lonmin (-3.49% to 179.7p)
[3:46pm] A cloud of uncertainty continues to hang over the FTSE 100 as it has spent almost all day bobbing around, unable to decide if it wanted to end the day in the red or black.
The more investors learn, the less impressive Thomas Cook's handling of Harriet Green's departure looks.
Market speculation suggests there are now 10 million reasons why the now departed CEO will not be the one to spill the beans.
Suffice to say her time in charge saw shares rise ninefold, and the announcement of her departure saw shares drop by over 20%.
Once again FTSE CEO pay packages are gaining headlines; considering the issues that BG Group have had over the last couple of years, a £25 million package for new CEO Helge Lund looks more than a little generous.
SAB Miller and Coca Cola have decided to reduce costs by sharing bottling facilities in Africa, where facilities would manufacture only the non-alcoholic beverages offered by both companies.
Pitcher & Piano owners Marston's has seen full-year figures fall by 3.6% but part of this can be attributed to a change in the accounting period.
Update by Alastair McCaig, Market Analyst,
[3:23pm] European Stock Markets
Shares in Europe were trading with a cautiously optimistic tone after German unemployment dropped to record lows and Eurozone economic confidence improved.
A drop in bank lending inside Europe was another indication that further stimulus measures may be needed.
The decrease suggests the European Central Bank's TLTRO program is having minimal positive impact on the number of loans to SMB's implying a needed for additional stimulus.
Further stimulus efforts could come in the first quarter of the New Year as hinted at by the president and VP of the ECB in recent speeches.
UK markets were held back by political uncertainty surrounding proposals for Scottish devolution in the Smith commission.
Scotland has gained more borrowing powers and will take control of national income tax and welfare under the new proposals.
The commission raises as many questions as it answers, particularly pertaining to Scottish powers in England and regional devolution within England, all of which increases political uncertainty.
The uncertainty is twofold for markets with devolution happening as Britain heads into the general election next year which stands a good chance of seeing no clear majority winner.
The heavily-weighted resource sector fared the worst as oil shares plummeted alongside oil prices ahead of the highly anticipated OPEC meeting.
Petrofac, BG group and Shell were some of the biggest fallers ahead of and after the OPEC meeting, alongside supermarkets of which Sainsburys saw the biggest losses on the day before Black Friday shopping begins.
Smith and Nephew and ITV shares moved higher as speculation continued over a possible bid from US firms Stryker and Liberty Global respectively.
Update by Jasper Lawler, Market Analyst,
Black Friday: Increasingly a UK Retail Phenomenon
On Black Friday, the day after Thanksgiving, and Cyber Monday, the first day of the following week, some of the best known retailers in America offer large discounts.
This results in the biggest two days of shopping in the US year.
Retailers traditionally made enough sales to put them 'in the black' for the year on Black Friday, but with just-in-time inventory management, profitability is now spread throughout the year.
Still, most retailers' profitability for the entire year is dependent on how they perform during the holiday period and Black Friday has become a leading indicator for how well holiday sales may fair.
Like any one indicator, Black Friday sales aren't perfect; company shares shouldn't be bought on Black Friday performance alone.
However, a successful Black Friday campaign corresponds to customer engagement and a dynamic business that should lead to rising earnings.
Collectively, Black Friday sales can provide a more macro insight into the health of the overall economy.
Bigger Black Friday sales, all things held equal, should demonstrate more consumption that will drive a consumer-led economy forward.
Black Friday Deals Spread to the UK
Big US companies including Wal-Mart, Best Buy and Macy's are known for the large crowds stampeding their stores as they open on Black Friday.
The rise of Amazon and Cyber Monday has seen the concept spread to the UK, with John Lewis, Argos, Curry's PC World and ASDA getting in on the fray.
Sebastian James, Chief Executive of Dixons Carphone owner of Curry's PC World, said the Black Friday weekend is now the second busiest sales period after Boxing Day.
The theory goes that in the US, Black Friday price cuts serve the purpose of getting Americans shopping after Thanksgiving ready for Christmas.
Realistically, do Americans need any excuse to go shopping?
The truth is that Black Friday deals are mostly not that great for the consumer; there are definitely some great bargains to be had on Black Friday but they are the minority.
The successful US retailers use 'door-buster' deals to get people into the stores or online.
Most of the offers exaggerate savings by comparing the sale price to the manufacturer's suggested retail price; the saving when compared with the every-day price of the item is often a lot less.
US Firms Have the Advantage When Pricing in the UK
The American companies in Britain, particularly Amazon and Wal-Mart (ASDA) have a head start on British competition because of their experience of pricing Black Friday deals in the US.
Last year Amazon reported their single-biggest sales day on Black Friday only to beat their own record three days later on Cyber Monday.
The stock has been in difficulty this year as expansion has come at the expense of profits, a strong holiday shopping season will go a long way to demonstrating to investors the investments were worth it.
UK retailers have experience of discounting during Boxing Day, but that could actually serve as a disadvantage.
There is a genuine reason for Boxing Day; retailers wish to unload last year's stock ready for the New Year which can mean there are some genuine bargains.
Cyber Monday Remains Key for UK Sales
The British retailers that will fare the best are the ones that will price their Black Friday deals correctly so as to attract shoppers without giving away too much ahead of the main Christmas shopping season.
Any retailer with too many good deals on November 28th will be an early warning sign of getting their Black Friday strategy wrong; the result maybe higher revenues at the expense of profit margins.
There was one report of a fight over a large screen TV in ASDA last year but the UK's take on the holiday has so far been an internet phenomenon.
It will be those retailers with the best online-presence that stand to gain the most from Black Friday.
Argos parent company Home Retail Group and Dixons-Carphone are legacy electronics retailers and still rely on footfall for the bulk of their revenue.
As Black Friday gains in popularity, the old electronics retailers stand to benefit.
While the emphasis stays online with Cyber Monday; Dixons-Carphone may lag Argos which has a successful online catalogue and tie-up with eBay for click and collect services.
Can Offline Retailers Get in on the Act?
Black Friday has so far focused on electronics in the UK but there is an opportunity for apparel retailers; this will likely led by US companies like Gap and L Brands (owner of Victoria's Secret).
UK retailer Next has successfully built its online presence and could use Black Friday to put itself front and centre in shopper's mind before they do their Christmas shopping online.
The gremlins appear to have disappeared from Marks and Spencer's website so Black Friday will be a defining moment for the company's internet ambitions which could lead the way for improvements already seen in its general merchandise division in the first half of the year.
It's perhaps not a coincidence that ASDA had the most comprehensive Black Friday offering in 2013 of all the big four supermarkets and has been the only one to hold its own in 2014.
Black Friday was an opportunity for ASDA to market itself as good value and the rest of the big four are looking to catch up this year.
Black Friday is a good opportunity for Tesco to build on the popularity of 'Tesco direct' its online store whereas the holiday could highlight the problem of Morrison's minimal web-presence.
You can also use a spreads account to access shorter-term daily FTSE markets. Readers should note that opening such an account is normally subject to suitability and status checks.
If your account application is accepted then, once logged in, you will be able to access the charts and the current prices. Access is normally free, however, the catch is that you could get the odd sales letter or email from your firm.
Of course, if you do decide to trade, be aware that spread trading and contracts for difference carry a high degree of risk and you may lose more than your initial deposit.
Advanced Charts for the FTSE 100
Although the charting packages normally differ from platform to platform, in order to assist you with your FTSE 100 analysis, most charts generally have:
A large range of time intervals - 1 minute, 2 minute, 10 minute, 1 hour, 4 hour, 1 month etc
A variety of chart types - candlestick, line and OHCL charts
Drawing tools and features - Fibonacci Time Zones, Arcs and Fans
If you are interested in a free Test Account which allows users to get a better understanding of financial spread betting, and practice trading markets like the FTSE 100, then you could always take a look at:
All of the above companies provide a Demo Account that lets users practice trading, apply a variety of orders, try out strategies and review charts.
How to Spread Bet on the FTSE 100?
As with many global markets, investors can spread bet on stock market indices, like the FTSE 100, to either rise or fall.
If we log on to Financial Spreads, we can see they are showing the FTSE 100 Rolling Daily market at 5785.3 - 5786.3. This means an investor can spread bet on the FTSE 100 market:
Going above 5786.3, or
Going below 5785.3
When spread betting on the FTSE 100 index you trade in £x per point.
Where a point is one point of the index itself.
Should you choose to invest £4 per point and the FTSE 100 moves 24 points then that would alter your profit/loss by £96. £4 per point x 24 points = £96.
Rolling Daily Index Markets
An important aspect of this Rolling Daily Market is that there is no closing date for your trade. You do not have to close your trade, should it still be open at the end of the day, it will roll over to the next session.
If you allow your trade to roll over and are spread betting on the market to:
Increase - then you will be charged a small overnight financing fee, or
Decrease - then a small payment is normally credited to your account
So, if we take the above spread of 5785.3 - 5786.3 and assume:
You have analysed the indices markets, and
You feel that the FTSE 100 index will rise above 5786.3
Then you could decide that you want to buy a spread bet at 5786.3 and risk, let's say, £2 per point.
With this trade you make a profit of £2 for every point that the FTSE 100 index moves higher than 5786.3. However, it also means that you will make a loss of £2 for every point that the FTSE 100 market moves below 5786.3.
Considering this from another angle, should you buy a spread bet then your profits (or losses) are worked out by taking the difference between the closing price of the market and the initial price you bought the market at. You then multiply that difference in price by your stake.
Therefore, if after a few trading sessions the UK stock market rose, you might want to close your position to lock in your profit.
So if the stock market increased then the spread, set by the spread betting company, might move up to 5849.4 - 5850.4. In order to close your position you would sell at 5849.4. Accordingly, with the same £2 stake:
P&L = (Closing Price - Opening Price) x stake
P&L = (5849.4 - 5786.3) x £2 per point stake
P&L = 63.1 x £2 per point stake
P&L = £126.20 profit
Speculating on stock market indices, whether by spread betting or not, doesn't always work out. In this example, you had bet that the index would go up. Nevertheless, it might go down.
If the FTSE 100 index began to drop then you might choose to close your spread bet in order to restrict your losses.
Should the market pull back to 5731.9 - 5732.9 then you would close your spread bet by selling at 5731.9. If so, you would lose:
P&L = (Closing Price - Opening Price) x stake
P&L = (5731.9 - 5786.3) x £2 per point stake
P&L = -54.4 x £2 per point stake
P&L = -£108.80 loss
Note - FTSE 100 Rolling Daily prices as of 1-Oct-12.
Below we have a simple interactive example from Financial Spreads on how spread betting works when trading the FTSE 100.
This quick example shows how the Stop Loss works and also how your upside is unlimited.
Note that Stop Losses are not guaranteed but you can opt for a Guaranteed Stop Loss with Financial Spreads.
How to Spread Bet on the UK 100 - Example 2
Looking at a spread trading website like Tradefair, we can see that they are showing the UK 100 Rolling Daily market at 5787.8 - 5788.8. This means an investor can spread bet on the UK 100 market:
Rising above 5788.8, or
Falling below 5787.8
Whilst financial spread betting on the UK 100 index you trade in £x per point. So, should you decide to risk £5 per point and the UK 100 moves 27 points then that would make a difference to your bottom line of £135. £5 per point x 27 points = £135.
So, if you continue with the above spread of 5787.8 - 5788.8 and assume that:
You have done your research, and
Your research suggests that the UK 100 index will move higher than 5788.8
Then you might decide that you want to go long of the market at 5788.8 and risk, for the sake of argument, £3 per point.
So, you make a profit of £3 for every point that the UK 100 index moves above 5788.8. However, such a bet also means that you will lose £3 for every point that the UK 100 market decreases below 5788.8.
Looked at another way, if you ‘Buy’ a spread bet then your profit/loss is calculated by taking the difference between the settlement price of the market and the price you bought the market at. You then multiply that difference in price by your stake.
As a result, if after a few sessions the UK stock market started to move upwards then you could choose to close your trade in order to guarantee your profit.
So if the market moved up then the spread might change to 5831.6 - 5832.6. You would close your position by selling at 5831.6. Therefore, with the same £3 stake your profit would be calculated as:
Profits (or losses) = (Closing Value - Initial Value) x stake
Profits (or losses) = (5831.6 - 5788.8) x £3 per point stake
Profits (or losses) = 42.8 x £3 per point stake
Profits (or losses) = £128.40 profit
Financial spread trading doesn't always work out as you would have liked. In this case, you wanted the UK index to rise. Nevertheless, it might decrease.
If the UK 100 index decreased, contrary to your expectations, then you might decide to close/settle your trade to limit your losses.
So if the spread fell to 5751.2 - 5752.2 you would close your trade by selling at 5751.2. Accordingly, your loss would be:
Profits (or losses) = (Closing Value - Initial Value) x stake
Profits (or losses) = (5751.2 - 5788.8) x £3 per point stake
Profits (or losses) = -37.6 x £3 per point stake
Profits (or losses) = -£112.80 loss
Note: UK 100 Rolling Daily spread betting market accurate as of 28-Nov-12.
How to Trade FTSE Futures
If we go to a platform like FinancialSpreads, you can see that they are currently pricing the FTSE 100 March Futures market at 5717.3 - 5721.3.
Therefore, you can speculate on the FTSE 100 index:
Settling above 5721.3, or
Settling below 5717.3
On the expiry date for this 'March' futures market, 15-Mar-13.
As with the daily markets above, with the FTSE futures market you speculate on the FTSE 100 index in £x per point. So, if you decided to have a stake of £4 per point and the FTSE 100 moves 35 points then that would alter your profits (or losses) by £140. £4 per point x 35 points = £140.
FTSE 100 Futures Trading Example
If we think about the spread of 5717.3 - 5721.3 and assume that:
You have analysed the UK stock market, and
Your analysis suggests the UK index will finish above 5721.3 by 15-Mar-13
Then you may decide to buy the futures market at 5721.3 and risk, let's say, £5 per point.
With this contract you make a profit of £5 for every point that the FTSE 100 index rises higher than 5721.3. Nevertheless, it also means that you will make a loss of £5 for every point that the FTSE 100 market moves lower than 5721.3.
Thinking of this in a slightly different way, if you are spread trading and you 'Buy' a market then your P&L is calculated by taking the difference between the settlement price of the market and the initial price you bought the spread at. You then multiply that price difference by the stake.
As a result, if, on the expiry date, the FTSE 100 settled higher at 5749.9, then:
P&L = (Closing Price - Opening Price) x stake
P&L = (5749.9 - 5721.3) x £5 per point stake
P&L = 28.6 x £5 per point stake
P&L = £143.00 profit
Trading UK stock market futures is not always easy. With this example, you thought the index would increase. Nevertheless, the UK stock market could fall.
If the FTSE 100 fell and settled lower at 5696.4, you would end up making a loss on this trade.
P&L = (Closing Price - Opening Price) x stake
P&L = (5696.4 - 5721.3) x £5 per point stake
P&L = -24.9 x £5 per point stake
P&L = -£124.50 loss
Note - FTSE 100 March Futures market correct as of 27-Sep-12.
Financial Spread Betting on FTSE 100 Companies
Simply click on the company you're interested in spread betting on.
As well as broker ratings, indicative prices and charts, we talk you through the most popular spread betting questions for the UK firm:
Below, an old but still useful case study on the UK stock market by Shai Heffetz, InterTrader, 28-Apr-2011.
Being an index of the 100 biggest companies on the London Stock Exchange, the FTSE 100 is considered a quite reliable yardstick of the health of the economy in general.
If one looks at the period since the index started at 1000 on the 1st of January 1984, the picture certainly looks healthy. The current value of 6041 represents growth of more than 500 per cent over the 27-year term.
The fact of the matter is, however, that the index is currently well below the record level of 6950.6 it reached in December 1999, which means that in effect we have seen negative growth over the past 12 years.
FTSE 100 Technical Analysis
If we consider technical analysis of the FTSE 100 then, looking at the Ichimoku Kinko Hyo on the candlestick chart below, everything seems to point to a bull market as the price is far above the cloud.
It is also well above the red Tenkan-Sen (short-term average) and the blue Kijun-Sen (longer-term average). The green Chinkou Span line is also well above the price 26 days ago, strengthening the perception of a bull market.
There are, however, a couple of things that could indicate that we should not jump to conclusions. The red Tenkan-Sen has turned flat, which indicates short-term uncertainty in the market, and the cloud is also very thin, which further points to indecisiveness in the market.
If the price should break through the recent high of 6064.80, we might see it test the previous high of 6106.80 it reached on 8 February. A cautious trader would not enter a medium or long-term position long position before this happens. A potential stop loss level in this case is the red Tenkan-Sen line.
In the current market, traders should wait for further signs of weakness before entering into a short position. If the price drops as far as the Ichimoku cloud, it could be on its way to test the previous low of 5505.30 on 16 March.
A careful trader will wait for the price to break downwards out of the cloud before going short, but this could rob you of most of the profits in the swing trade. An alternative, but riskier, approach would be to go short as soon as the price drops below the blue Kijun-Sen.
The London Stock Exchange (LSE) is one of the world's oldest stock exchanges. It's been trading for over 300 years. According to the LSE website it started life in the coffee houses of 17th century London (pre-Starbucks).
For readers who are not familiar with the term 'FTSE 100' it is simply an index of the 100 largest companies on the London Stock Exchange. The index is maintained and owned jointly by the Financial Times and the London Stock Exchange.
The index came into being on 1 January 1984 with a base value of 1,000. It reached a record level of 6950.6 on 30 December 1999. The financial crisis of 2007–2010 saw it drop dramatically to 3,500. Since then it has recovered to a large extent.
FTSE: Financial Times Stock Exchange. These firms (FT and LSE) are jointly responsible for the compilation and maintenance of the main stock indices reflecting the performance of the UK's top shares
FTSE 100: The index of the UK's top 100 companies, as ranked by their market capitalisation. Also referred to as UK100
FTSE 250 or FTSE MID 250: The index of the next 250 FTSE companies as ranked by their market capitalisation
FTSE 350: The index of the top 350 UK companies by market capitalisation. A combination of the FTSE 100 and FTSE 250 stocks
FTSE ALL SHARE: An index covering about 800 shares representing 98% of UK stock market value
UK 100: In spread betting and CFD trading, the FTSE 100 is often called the 'UK 100'
'FTSE 100 Spread Betting' edited by Jacob Wood, updated 28-Nov-14
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FTSE 100 Spread Betting
FTSE 100 financial spread betting guide with a price comparison and daily analysis. Plus live FTSE 100 charts & prices, where to spread bet on the stock market index commission-free and... » read from top.