Commodities Spread Betting Guide with Daily Analysis, Spreads Comparison and Live Charts & Prices
Clean Financial - The Financial Spread Betting Website
Commodities Spread Betting

Commodities Spread Betting



Indicative Commodities Prices




Commodities Spread Comparison


A spread/price comparison table looking at the 'spread size' and minimum stakes for the most popular commodities markets.

Typical In-Hours Spread Sizes

Gold Daily 4 3 5 4 4
Gold Future 4† 6 6 6 5
Brent Crude Oil Daily 3† 7† 4 4 3.5
Brent Crude Oil Future 3 7 6 6 4
US Crude Oil Daily 3† 4† 4 4 3.5
US Crude Oil Future 3 4 6 6 4
Commodities Minimum Stake £1 £1 £1-2 £0.5 £1
Comparison Notes. This table is not meant to be inclusive, commodities spread betting may be available through other brokers.


Commodities Spread Betting Analysis & News


Date Trading Update
22-May-17 [9:14am] New Commodities COT Reports

The latest Commitments of Traders Report (COT) has been published by the CFTC and so we have produced a new Commodities COT Summary Report.

We have also added individual COT reports for the markets listed below. We feel our reports are easier-to-read than the CFTC version, they also have additional ratios and show the weekly net positions changes.

Metals COT Reports:Energies COT Reports:Softs COT Reports:

Note that the Commodities COT Summary Report also includes Rough Rice and Oats.

Update by Gordon Childs, Editor, CleanFinancial
22-May-17 [8:29am] Commodities Update

Compared to the overnight close:

Metals

Falling FX Pair Gold is trading -$1.55 (-0.12%) lower at $1,254.88 ($/oz)
Falling FX Pair Silver is trading -$0.011 (-0.06%) lower at $16.929 ($/oz)
Rising FX Pair Copper is trading $0.0020 (0.08%) higher at $2.5780 ($/lb)
Falling FX Pair Platinum is trading -$2.5 (-0.27%) lower at $939.0 ($/oz)
Rising FX Pair Palladium is trading $2.70 (0.36%) higher at $759.70 ($/oz)

Energies

Rising FX Pair Brent Crude is trading $0.32 (0.60%) higher at $54.07 ($/barrel)
Rising FX Pair US Crude is trading $0.05 (0.10%) higher at $51.13 ($/barrel)
Neutral FX Pair Natural Gas is trading flat at $3.376 ($/mmBtu)
Falling FX Pair Gasoline is trading -$0.0003 (-0.02%) lower at $1.6611 ($/gallon)
Rising FX Pair Heating Oil is trading $0.0030 (0.19%) higher at $1.5940 ($/gallon)

Softs

Rising FX Pair Corn is trading $2.25 (0.60%) higher at $374.25 ($/bushel)
Falling FX Pair Cotton is trading -$0.42 (-0.53%) lower at $78.98 ($/lb)
Rising FX Pair Soybean is trading $4.50 (0.47%) higher at $956.25 ($/bushel)
Rising FX Pair Wheat is trading $3.50 (0.80%) higher at $438.50 ($/bushel)

  Pricing notes.

Update by Gordon Childs, Editor, CleanFinancial
22-May-17 [3:29am] Daily Commodities Moves

How the popular commodities closed compared to the previous session:

Metals

Rising FX Pair Gold closed $2.06 (0.16%) higher at $1,256.43 ($/oz)
Rising FX Pair Silver closed $0.098 (0.58%) higher at $16.940 ($/oz)
Falling FX Pair Copper closed -$0.0075 (-0.29%) lower at $2.5760 ($/lb)
Rising FX Pair Platinum closed $1.5 (0.16%) higher at $941.5 ($/oz)
Rising FX Pair Palladium closed $0.25 (0.03%) higher at $757.00 ($/oz)

Energies

Rising FX Pair Brent Crude closed $1.31 (2.50%) higher at $53.75 ($/barrel)
Rising FX Pair US Crude closed $0.62 (1.23%) higher at $51.08 ($/barrel)
Rising FX Pair Natural Gas closed $0.128 (3.94%) higher at $3.376 ($/mmBtu)
Rising FX Pair Gasoline closed $0.0122 (0.74%) higher at $1.6614 ($/gallon)
Rising FX Pair Heating Oil closed $0.0073 (0.46%) higher at $1.5910 ($/gallon)

Softs

Rising FX Pair Corn closed $6.00 (1.64%) higher at $372.00 ($/bushel)
Rising FX Pair Cotton closed $0.23 (0.29%) higher at $79.40 ($/lb)
Rising FX Pair Soybean closed $7.00 (0.74%) higher at $951.75 ($/bushel)
Rising FX Pair Wheat closed $9.00 (2.11%) higher at $435.00 ($/bushel)

  Pricing notes.

Update by Gordon Childs, Editor, CleanFinancial
17-May-17 [11:28am] New Commodities COT Reports

The latest Commitments of Traders Report (COT) has been published by the CFTC and so we have produced a new Commodities COT Summary Report.

We have also added individual COT reports for the markets listed below. We feel our reports are easier-to-read than the CFTC version, they also have additional ratios and show the weekly net positions changes.

Metals COT Reports:Energies COT Reports:Softs COT Reports:

Note that the Commodities COT Summary Report also includes Rough Rice and Oats.

Update by Gordon Childs, Editor, CleanFinancial
11-May-17 [8:33am] Commodities Update

Compared to the overnight close:

Metals

Rising FX Pair Gold is trading $3.82 (0.31%) higher at $1,221.05 ($/oz)
Rising FX Pair Silver is trading $0.123 (0.76%) higher at $16.264 ($/oz)
Rising FX Pair Copper is trading $0.0480 (1.93%) higher at $2.5400 ($/lb)
Rising FX Pair Platinum is trading $8.6 (0.94%) higher at $918.7 ($/oz)
Rising FX Pair Palladium is trading $7.85 (0.99%) higher at $800.15 ($/oz)

Energies

Rising FX Pair Brent Crude is trading $0.54 (1.07%) higher at $50.78 ($/barrel)
Rising FX Pair US Crude is trading $0.55 (1.16%) higher at $47.92 ($/barrel)
Neutral FX Pair Natural Gas is trading flat at $3.281 ($/mmBtu)
Rising FX Pair Gasoline is trading $0.0146 (0.95%) higher at $1.5580 ($/gallon)
Rising FX Pair Heating Oil is trading $0.0144 (0.98%) higher at $1.4908 ($/gallon)

Softs

Falling FX Pair Corn is trading -$0.25 (-0.07%) lower at $373.25 ($/bushel)
Rising FX Pair Cotton is trading $0.01 (0.01%) higher at $76.36 ($/lb)
Rising FX Pair Soybean is trading $4.25 (0.44%) higher at $973.25 ($/bushel)
Rising FX Pair Wheat is trading $0.75 (0.17%) higher at $433.00 ($/bushel)

  Pricing notes.

Update by Gordon Childs, Editor, CleanFinancial
11-May-17 [3:33am] Daily Commodities Moves

How the popular commodities closed compared to the previous session:

Metals

Falling FX Pair Gold closed -$5.72 (-0.47%) lower at $1,217.23 ($/oz)
Falling FX Pair Silver closed -$0.011 (-0.07%) lower at $16.141 ($/oz)
Falling FX Pair Copper closed -$0.0020 (-0.08%) lower at $2.4920 ($/lb)
Rising FX Pair Platinum closed $3.4 (0.37%) higher at $910.1 ($/oz)
Falling FX Pair Palladium closed -$2.95 (-0.37%) lower at $792.30 ($/oz)

Energies

Rising FX Pair Brent Crude closed $1.28 (2.61%) higher at $50.24 ($/barrel)
Rising FX Pair US Crude closed $1.27 (2.75%) higher at $47.37 ($/barrel)
Rising FX Pair Natural Gas closed $0.065 (2.02%) higher at $3.281 ($/mmBtu)
Rising FX Pair Gasoline closed $0.0599 (4.04%) higher at $1.5434 ($/gallon)
Rising FX Pair Heating Oil closed $0.0327 (2.27%) higher at $1.4764 ($/gallon)

Softs

Rising FX Pair Corn closed $7.00 (1.91%) higher at $373.50 ($/bushel)
Falling FX Pair Cotton closed -$1.04 (-1.34%) lower at $76.35 ($/lb)
Falling FX Pair Soybean closed -$4.50 (-0.46%) lower at $969.00 ($/bushel)
Rising FX Pair Wheat closed $2.75 (0.64%) higher at $432.25 ($/bushel)

  Pricing notes.

Update by Gordon Childs, Editor, CleanFinancial
08-May-17 [2:16pm] New Commodities COT Reports

The latest Commitments of Traders Report (COT) has been published by the CFTC and so we have produced a new Commodities COT Summary Report.

We have also added individual COT reports for the markets listed below. We feel our reports are easier-to-read than the CFTC version, they also have additional ratios and show the weekly net positions changes.

Metals COT Reports:Energies COT Reports:Softs COT Reports:

Note that the Commodities COT Summary Report also includes Rough Rice and Oats.

Update by Gordon Childs, Editor, CleanFinancial
02-May-17 [11:29am] New Commodities COT Reports

The latest Commitments of Traders Report (COT) has been published by the CFTC and so we have produced a new Commodities COT Summary Report.

We have also added individual COT reports for the markets listed below. We feel our reports are easier-to-read than the CFTC version, they also have additional ratios and show the weekly net positions changes.

Metals COT Reports:Energies COT Reports:Softs COT Reports:

Note that the Commodities COT Summary Report also includes Rough Rice and Oats.

Update by Gordon Childs, Editor, CleanFinancial
28-Apr-17 [7:55am] Commodities Update

Compared to the overnight close:

Metals

Rising FX Pair Gold is trading $1.71 (0.14%) higher at $1,265.22 ($/oz)
Rising FX Pair Silver is trading $0.083 (0.48%) higher at $17.333 ($/oz)
Rising FX Pair Copper is trading $0.0025 (0.10%) higher at $2.5920 ($/lb)
Rising FX Pair Platinum is trading $1.8 (0.19%) higher at $949.6 ($/oz)
Falling FX Pair Palladium is trading -$1.10 (-0.13%) lower at $814.25 ($/oz)

Energies

Rising FX Pair Brent Crude is trading $0.08 (0.15%) higher at $52.15 ($/barrel)
Rising FX Pair US Crude is trading $0.20 (0.41%) higher at $49.34 ($/barrel)
Rising FX Pair Natural Gas is trading $0.009 (0.28%) higher at $3.253 ($/mmBtu)
Rising FX Pair Gasoline is trading $0.0126 (0.81%) higher at $1.5741 ($/gallon)
Rising FX Pair Heating Oil is trading $0.0059 (0.39%) higher at $1.5187 ($/gallon)

Softs

Falling FX Pair Corn is trading -$1.25 (-0.34%) lower at $368.50 ($/bushel)
Falling FX Pair Cotton is trading -$0.23 (-0.30%) lower at $77.68 ($/lb)
Falling FX Pair Soybean is trading -$0.75 (-0.08%) lower at $956.25 ($/bushel)
Rising FX Pair Wheat is trading $2.25 (0.52%) higher at $433.00 ($/bushel)

  Pricing notes.

Update by Gordon Childs, Editor, CleanFinancial

Readers please note:


Trading Risk Warning

For the commodities market commentary archives see Commodities Trading Archive.

Advert: Commodities Spread Betting, sponsored by FinancialSpreads.com.
You can spread bet on Commodities with Financial Spreads.

Where to Spread Bet on Commodities

Where Can I Spread Bet on Commodities?


Investors can spread bet on a wide array of commodities like crude oil, gold, silver, wheat, sugar and coffee with:

Live Commodities Spread Betting Prices and Charts


You can use the search option on the chart below to access live charts for:
  • Metals: gold, copper, palladium, platinum & silver
  • Energies: US oil, heating oil & natural gas
  • Softs: corn, cotton & soybeans
Note that the chart and prices for the 'oil' market are for US crude oil rather than Brent crude oil.


The above is a CFD chart from Plus 500 and normally tracks the front-month futures market.

If you want live commodities spread betting charts and prices, you will probably need a spread betting account (accounts are subject to status, suitability and credit checks).

Should your application be approved you will be able to log in and check the live charts/prices. Access to charts and prices is usually free. So what's the catch? You're likely to get the odd phone call or dreary newsletter from your chosen spread trading company.

If you want to trade then you should note that spread trading and CFD trading do involve a significant level of risk to your funds and losses could exceed your initial deposit.

Professional Level Commodities Charts


Whilst the specific charting packages differ across the various firms, in order to help your commodities analysis, they usually have valuable features such as:
  • A host of different time intervals - 1 minute, 5 minutes, 1 hour, 1 day, 1 week and so on
  • Different displays - line charts and candlestick charts
  • Tools for adding features - Fibonacci retracements and trendlines
  • Chart overlays and technical indicators - Exponential Moving Average, Bollinger Bands, Momentum, RSI, TSI, Chaikin's Volatility and so on
Charts from Financial Spreads also include more advanced features such as:
  • Back Testing functions
  • Customised email alerts that trigger when the markets hit a specific level

Example commodities chart from FinancialSpreads

Commodities Trading Guide - Example Chart


The spread betting brokers in the list below provide clients with access to real time charts and prices:

Where Can I Spread Bet on Commodities for Free?


Investing always comes with a degree of risk. Having said that, if you want to try a free Test Account, that allows you to practice your spread betting, see Free Demo Account below.

Furthermore, financial spread betting in the UK is tax free*, i.e. there is no stamp duty, income tax or capital gains tax.

If you are looking for a free commodities trading platform, keep in mind that you can spread bet on commodities futures without having to pay any commissions or brokers' fees through companies such as:

Free Demo Account


If you are looking for a free Practice Account where you are able to try out financial spread betting, and trading markets like coffee, gold and crude oil, then you can always have a closer look at: The above spread trading firms currently offer a risk free Test Account that lets investors practice their trading, analyse professional charts and try out new ideas.


Individual Commodities Spread Betting Guides


Below we have listed guides to the main commodities spread betting markets.

The first table shows the more popular markets and each guide has real-time prices and charts as well as regular market updates and analysis.

All of our commodity guides have worked trading examples and answer popular questions such as:
  • Where can I spread bet?
  • Where can I get live prices / charts?
  • Where can I trade commission free?
  • Where can I practice trading?
  • Etc.

Metals Energies Softs / Agricultures
Gold Trading Guide Crude Oil Trading Guide Coffee Trading Guide
Silver Trading Guide Natural Gas Trading Guide
Copper Trading Guide


The following guides cover the less popular commodities. Investors should take extra care when speculating on these markets. Spread betting is always a high risk form of trading however the following:
  • Are less popular and therefore the ‘spreads’ tend to be wider i.e. the underlying market has to move further, than a highly traded market, before you can close out your trade for a profit
  • Can be more volatile and more likely to ‘slip’ or ‘gap’ than popular, and liquid, markets like gold and crude oil.

Metals Energies Softs / Agricultures
Palladium Trading Guide Carbon Emissions Trading Guide Corn Trading Guide
Platinum Trading Guide Gas Oil Trading Guide Cocoa Trading Guide
Heating Oil Trading Guide Cotton Trading Guide
Unleaded Gasoline Trading Guide Orange Juice Trading Guide
Soybean Trading Guide
Wheat Trading Guide
Sugar Trading Guide


How to Spread Bet on Commodities


The futures market started with agricultural commodities. Farmers and producers would try to hedge their incomes against future events.

Commodities markets are influenced by rumours of poor weather, low yield harvests and global demand fluctuations. Therefore commodity trading offers some of the most volatile spread bets.

As with a variety global markets, you can spread bet on commodities to rise or fall.
For more worked examples, see our individual trading guides above.


How to Spread Bet on Commodities

Commodities Rolling Daily Example - Buying Gold


Most commodities markets are 'futures' markets. However, with spread betting, the most popular gold market is normally the 'daily' gold market. See below for a worked commodities futures example.

Looking at CapitalSpreads, we can see they are currently pricing the 'Gold Rolling Daily' market at $1,761.5 - $1,761.9.

Therefore you can spread bet on gold:

  Gold Spread Trading Example Moving above $1,761.9, or
  Gold Spread Betting Example Moving below $1,761.5

When spread betting on gold you trade in £x per $0.1. As a result, if you decided to risk £3 per $0.1 and gold moves $3.0 then that would alter your profit/loss by £90. £3 per $0.1 x $3.0 = £90.

Rolling Daily Commodities Markets

Again, note that this is a Rolling Daily Market. So in contrast with commodities futures markets, there is no expiry date. If your trade is still open at the end of the day, it will roll over into the next trading day.

If your position does roll over and you are spread betting on the market to:

  Gold Spread Trading Example Move up - then you'll normally be charged a small financing fee, or
  Gold Trading Example Move down - then you will often receive a small credit to your account

For a fully worked example please see Rolling Daily Spread Betting.


Gold Rolling Daily - Commodity Spread Betting Example


If we take the spread of $1,761.5 - $1,761.9 and make the assumptions that:
  • You have done your analysis of the metals market, and
  • Your analysis leads you to believe that gold will move above $1,761.9
Then you could decide to go long of the market at $1,761.9 and invest £2 per $0.1.

So, you gain £2 for every $0.1 that gold moves higher than $1,761.9. However, this trade also means that you will make a loss of £2 for every $0.1 that the gold market drops below $1,761.9.

Thinking of this in a slightly different way, should you 'Buy' a spread bet then your profit/loss is found by taking the difference between the closing price of the market and the price you bought the spread at. You then multiply that difference in price by the stake.

Should the market rise to $1,768.5 - $1,768.9, you might decide to close your spread bet and take your profit.

To close your position, you would sell at $1,768.5:

Profit = (Closing Level - Opening Level) x stake
Profit = ($1,768.5 - $1,761.9) x £2 per $0.1
Profit = $6.6 x £2 per $0.1
Profit = £132 profit

Trading commodities won't always go to plan. In this example, you had bet that the gold market would rise. Of course, the precious metal might fall.

If gold fell, you could choose to limit your losses by closing your spread bet.

If we continue the example, but with the commodity dropping to $1,756.1 - $1,756.5, then you could choose to close your trade by selling at $1,756.1. This would give you a loss of:

Loss = (Closing Level - Opening Level) x stake
Loss = ($1,756.1 - $1,761.9) x £2 per $0.1
Loss = -$5.8 x £2 per $0.1
Loss = -£116 loss

Gold Rolling Daily market correct as of 20-Sep-12.


How to Spread Bet on Commodities - Crude Oil

Commodities Futures Example - Buying Crude Oil


If we log into Inter Trader, we can see they are offering the US Crude Oil November Futures market at $91.50 - $91.54.

This means an investor could spread bet on US Crude Oil:

  US Crude Oil Spread Betting Example Finishing higher than $91.54, or
  US Crude Oil Spread Trading Example Finishing lower than $91.50

On the settlement date for this 'November' market, 17-Oct-12.

If you spread bet on US Crude Oil you trade in £x per $0.01.

E.g. should you choose to invest £5 per $0.01 and US Crude Oil moves $0.34 then there would be a difference to your P&L of £170. £5 per $0.01 x $0.34 = £170.

So, if we take spread of $91.50 - $91.54 and assume a) You have done your analysis, and b) You feel that the US Crude Oil market will finish higher than $91.54 by 17-Oct-12, then you could opt to buy a spread bet at $91.54 and trade, for the sake of argument, £4 per $0.01.

Therefore, you make a profit of £4 for every $0.01 that US Crude Oil pushes above $91.54. Having said that, such a trade also means that you will lose £4 for every $0.01 that the US Crude Oil market falls below $91.54.

Looked at another way, if you buy a spread bet then your profit/loss is calculated by taking the difference between the closing price of the market and the price you bought the market at. You then multiply that price difference by the stake.

As a result, if, on the expiry date, US Crude Oil finished at $91.77, then:

P&L = (Closing Value - Opening Value) x stake
P&L = ($91.77 - $91.54) x £4 per $0.01
P&L = $0.23 x £4 per $0.01
P&L = £92 profit

Speculating on commodity futures, by spread betting or otherwise, does not always result in a profit. With this example, you wanted the oil futures market to increase. Naturally, the futures market might decrease.

If US Crude Oil had fallen and closed at $91.27, you would end up losing this spread bet.

P&L = (Closing Value - Opening Value) x stake
P&L = ($91.27 - $91.54) x £4 per $0.01
P&L = -$0.27 x £4 per $0.01
P&L = -£108 loss

Note - US Crude Oil November Futures commodities market accurate as of 20-Sep-12.


How to Spread Bet on Crude Oil

How to Spread Bet on Commodities Futures to Fall - Selling Crude Oil


The price of Brent crude is stable but you think it will have another price correction from the current price of around $60.30 per barrel.

You check a spread betting company's website and see the September quote is 60.32 to 60.44, and is traded per $0.01.

You decide to sell at £3 per $0.01 at $60.32. Let's say your forecast is good and the price of oil falls. Your position closes at expiry at $58.52.

Your profit / loss is calculated by calculating the difference between the closing level ($58.52) and the opening price ($60.32) and multiplying it buy your stake.

Profit on day = ($60.32 - $58.52) x £3 per $0.01 stake
Profit on day = $1.80 x £3 per $0.01
Profit on day = £540 profit

However had oil demand increased and reignited the oil bull market the price could have closed at, let's say, $62.02 you would have lost.

Loss = ($60.32 - $62.02) x £3 per $0.01 stake
Loss = -$1.70 x £3 per $0.01
Loss = £510 loss

Brent crude oil spread betting market as of July 2009.


Advert: Commodities Spread Betting, sponsored by FinancialSpreads.com.
You can spread bet on Commodities with Financial Spreads.

Commitments of Traders Commodities Reports


When studying the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission COT reports, many investors concentrate on the Non-Commercial commitments and the Change in Open Interest. Therefore we publish the following ‘Summary Non-Commercial and Open Interest COT Reports’ every week.

For the full COT report for a particular commodity, and to see how traders are changing their positions in that futures market, simply click on the relevant link in the summary tables below.

Unfortunately we don’t currently produce COT reports for oats or rough rice, however we still cover these commodities in the summary tables below.

We also have gold and silver COT charts, or for more details about these, reports see our guide to the Commitments of Traders reports.

Summary Metals Non-Commercial and Open Interest COT Report - 16 May 2017


Metals Net Non-Commercial Commitments (i) (Futures Only) Open Interest (i) Change in Open Interest (i)
Long:Short Ratio (i) 16 May 2017 9 May 2017 Weekly Change
Gold 2.3:1 126,724 150,006 -23,282 435,021 1,988
Silver 1.8:1 43,004 53,655 -10,651 215,127 19,044
Copper Grade #1 1.1:1 8,646 8,081 565 250,251 7,128
Palladium 4.3:1 19,901 20,609 -708 37,379 50
Platinum 1.4:1 12,169 10,240 1,929 74,421 -1,683
Also see » gold and silver COT summary charts.


Summary Energies Non-Commercial and Open Interest COT Report - 16 May 2017


Energies Net Non-Commercial Commitments (i) (Futures Only) Open Interest (i) Change in Open Interest (i)
Long:Short Ratio (i) 16 May 2017 9 May 2017 Weekly Change
Crude Oil (US Light Sweet) 2:1 328,952 328,751 201 2,337,124 60,711
Gasoline (RBOB) 1.4:1 32,319 29,806 2,513 404,205 -10,144
Heating Oil No. 2 1.2:1 14,983 12,341 2,642 422,713 -12,423
Natural Gas 1.2:1 56,618 19,475 37,143 1,562,364 33,342


Summary Softs Non-Commercial and Open Interest COT Report - 16 May 2017


Softs Net Non-Commercial Commitments (i) (Futures Only) Open Interest (i) Change in Open Interest (i)
Long:Short Ratio (i) 16 May 2017 9 May 2017 Weekly Change
Cocoa 1:1.4 -25,676 -30,747 5,071 292,663 -10,309
Coffee C (Arabica) 1:1 -2,213 -1,108 -1,105 211,577 3,754
Corn 1:1.3 -97,301 -99,807 2,506 1,371,182 13,281
Cotton No. 2 5.1:1 110,019 103,936 6,083 264,211 6,387
Lean Hogs 1.6:1 30,653 23,426 7,227 220,752 8,493
Live Cattle 3.5:1 126,370 123,801 2,569 416,324 -3,792
Oats 2.2:1 938 659 279 6,269 329
Orange Juice 1.8:1 1,413 1,579 -166 11,049 431
Rough Rice 1:1.4 -795 -2,711 1,916 9,048 -2,052
Soybeans 1:1.2 -28,823 -29,887 1,064 647,710 7,532
Sugar No. 11 1.2:1 43,332 54,948 -11,616 792,922 15,014
Wheat 1:1.6 -89,400 -76,293 -13,107 447,119 23,683


Case Study: Applying Technical Analysis to Precious Metals


Below, an older but still useful case study on precious metals futures by Shai Heffetz, InterTrader, 27-Oct-2011.

Gold futures reached $1,720 per ounce briefly during Asian trading on Wednesday 26 October 2011.

This was its highest level in more than a month but by lunchtime in London the yellow metal had already eased back to about $1,700 per ounce.

The silver spread betting market also climbed; in fact, it has now gained more than 13% when compared to the price one month ago.

News that European finance ministers decided to cancel a meeting scheduled for Thursday 27 October saw the price of gold surge with more than 3% over the course of three hours on Wednesday afternoon. This was despite the fact that the planned summit of EU leaders was still scheduled to go ahead.

At the same time, the US S&P 500 index dropped by 2%. Gold traders in London were quoted as saying that it was the first time in weeks that gold had traded inversely to shares.

Spread Betting Analysis on Precious Metals

If we look at the daily gold candlestick chart below we can see that gold briefly touched $1921 on 6 September before virtually collapsing to $1532.65, which was the lowest price on 26 September. It recovered significantly during the day and closed at $1626.40.

After that, we saw a period where the price moved mainly sideways, but on 23 October, it broke through the blue Kijun Sen line and since then we have experienced a mini bull run. Right now, on the 27 October, it trades at $1726.

The price has moved into the ‘wait-and-see’ area of the Ichimoku Kinko Hyo cloud. Any significant break above the cloud might be the start of a new bull run, but if it closes below the recent low of $1603.25 it reached on 20 October, we might see further drops in the price.

Gold Spread Betting Daily Candlestick Chart

On the daily silver chart below, we can see that silver also dropped significantly during September, mainly on the 22nd and 23rd, when the price dropped from nearly $40 to close at $30.805 on the 23rd.

Since then it has recovered somewhat and is now trading at $33.645. Commodities analysis suggests that we need the price to break through the Ichimoku cloud before a long trade becomes advisable. Any new low could well be the start of a new bear phase.

Silver Spread Betting Daily Candlestick Chart

Precious Metal Safe Havens?

The question is often asked nowadays whether gold and silver are still ‘safe havens’ or not. It can best be answered by referring to monthly charts below.

On 1 January 2007, the gold market opened at $607.85. The current price of $1,726 represents a growth rate of close to 184% over 58 months.

The recent price correction suddenly does not look so bad at all and the long-term prospects remain very positive.

Gold Spread Betting Monthly Candlestick Chart

Silver started at $14.24 on 1 March 2007. The current price of $33.625 represents growth of 136% over a period of 56 months; not quite as good as gold, but much better than what can be said of most stock exchanges.

Having said that, the price of silver has dropped significantly since May. A longer-term trader should probably wait for it to recover to a level above the blue Kijun Sen and red Tenkan Sen lines on the chart below before going long again.

Silver Spread Betting Monthly Candlestick Chart


Case Study: Applying Fundamental and Technical Analysis to Energies


Below, an older but still useful case study on the oil market by Shai Heffetz, InterTrader, 23-Mar-2011.

At the moment, the oil market appears to be in something of a state of turmoil. There are certain forces at play that will push prices up for the foreseeable future; yet recent events have created a situation that could have a dampening effect on prices, at least in the short to medium term.

Crude Oil Fundamental Analysis

On the demand side, large economies, such as India and China, are still growing strongly. If this trend continues, it will ensure constant growth in the demand for crude oil in the short to medium term.

On the other hand, economic activity in many important Western economies is still lacklustre.

Despite several predictions of an imminent upturn, the US and UK economies have not lived up to expectations, which will, to a large extent, keep demand for crude oil in check. The upcoming summer months in the northern hemisphere will also act to keep demand for oil within reasonable limits during that period.

A number of countries have suffered crippling natural disasters in the past few months. The earthquake and subsequent tsunami in Japan was no doubt the worst of these and has now raised fears of a recession in one of the world’s biggest economies.

Once the focus shifts from immediate need to rebuilding, the construction industry in Japan will no doubt receive a huge boost. This will, in turn, lead to stronger demand for various imported commodities and stimulate economic activity, and the demand for crude oil will increase.

The latest unrest in various crude oil producing countries of the Middle East/North Africa (MENA) region has created fear of disruption to the oil supplies.

This situation has been exacerbated by recent developments in Libya, where a civil war could potentially break out after military intervention by Western powers. This will lead to further upward pressure on the price of crude oil.

Something else that has to be taken into account is that the threat of a nuclear disaster in Japan has made many nuclear powers rethink their approach towards this form of energy. Germany, for example, has already decided to close several of its older nuclear power stations.

Since nuclear energy is an alternative to oil, any development that curtails the supply of this alternative energy source will, in the long run, act to stimulate the demand for crude oil and push the price up even further.

What we will probably see in the short to medium term therefore, is a temporary lull in the demand for oil. In the medium to long term, everything points to higher oil prices and it would not be surprising to see new record prices within the next two years.

Crude Oil Technical Analysis

Technical analysis of the situation seems to confirm the foregoing conclusions.

The market was in a strong bull run before the earthquake in Japan on 11 March 2011, but since then there has been a significant price correction, because many traders feared an imminent recession in Japan. The market reached a low on 15 March, with Brent Oil closing at $108.28.

At its lowest level, the price moved marginally below the Kijun Sen (the blue line) on the Ichimoku Kinko Hyo, but rebounded sharply from there and right now it is trading above both the blue line (Kijun Sen) and the shorter-term average, the Tenkan Sen (the red line).

Daily Spread Betting Crude Oil Chart

The above Ichimoku Kinko Hyo cloud currently indicates a clear bull market.

The Chinkou Span (the green line) is above the price of 21 days ago; the price is well above the cloud and also above both the blue and red lines of the Kijun Sen and Tenkan Sen.

A possible strategy is therefore to buy Brent with a stop loss placed at the red Tenkan Sen line. Along with the Ichimoku Kinko Hyo, this line always acts as your first level of support. Once the price breaks through the blue Kijun Sen, a long position is no longer advisable.

The first resistance level is at $118.47, which was reached on 7 March. Once the price breaks through that level, watch out for $119.40, a previous high that was reached on 24 February. If the price breaks through this level, new highs are very possible.

As long as the price is above the cloud of the Ichimoku Hyo, medium term short trades cannot be advised. This does not mean, however, that an astute day trader cannot make money from short-term corrections in the price. In this instance, the chart above should be redrawn using an hourly or even shorter-term chart.

The same rule applies when the price is trading above the cloud; take in a long-term position. When it is in the cloud, stay out of the market and when it trades below the cloud, it is time to go short.


Where Can I Find a Commodities Trading Platform/Software?


A few spread betting companies have trading platforms/software that you need to download and install on your computer. Most companies however provide web-based platforms where all you need is internet access.

The commodities brokers listed in our gold price comparison section all have web-based platforms where you can spread bet on commodities markets.


Potash Trading


Market update, 30 July 2013.

The $20bn global market for potash, the crop nutrient, is now set to become freely traded for the first time in 8 years.

This follows a surprise announcement yesterday from Uralkali, the biggest global supplier. Uralkali intend to end product restrictions which previously underpinned global prices.

For more details, read the Reuters article Uralkali quits potash cartel.

Editor’s note - it may take a while before you can spread bet on potash futures, don’t hold your breath. If and when the market opens, the spreads are likely to be rather wide.



Advert: Commodities Spread Betting, sponsored by FinancialSpreads.com.
You can spread bet on Commodities with Financial Spreads.


Trading Risk Warning
'Commodities Spread Betting' edited by Jacob Wood, updated 22-May-17

For related articles also see:





Free Financial Email Updates
Q) Average Trading Results?

A) Get free trading tips, offers, price updates, important news and more!
All Free - Click here!


Risk Warning

Home
City Index
ETX Capital
Financial Spreads
IG
Spread Betting News
Live Charts
Live Prices
Stock Market Spreads
Stock Market News
Stock Market Charts
Stock Market Prices
FTSE 100 Spreads
Dow Jones Spreads
DAX 30 Spreads
Forex Spreads
Forex News
Forex Charts
Forex Prices
EUR/USD Spreads
GBP/USD Spreads
Commodities Spreads
Commodities News
Commodities Charts
Commodities Prices
Gold Spreads
Crude Oil Spreads
Shares Spreads
Share Tips
Share Trading Reports
Share Charts
UK Shares
US Shares
Spread Betting
Bonds Spreads
Interest Rate Spreads
Spread Trading Blog
Financial Fixed Odds
CFD Trading
Trading Features
Trading Forum
Technical Trading
Free Newsletter
Why Spread Bet?
What's Spread Betting?
Trading Glossary