At the end of the last session, the market closed down -9pts (-0.05%) at 18,077.
30 Minute Indicator Analysis
The index is trading higher than the 20 period moving average of 18,085.7 and higher than the 50 period moving average of 18,076.1.
1 Day Indicator Analysis
The stock market is trading higher than the 20 day moving average of 17,860.8 and higher than the 50 day moving average of 17,985.9.
Update by Gordon Childs, Editor,
[11:37am] New US Data
Following 2 days of hawkish (but perhaps not hawkish enough) comments from Janet Yellen, one of the Federal Reserve’s key metrics for an interest rate rise will get a work out this afternoon. The latest US inflation figures are announced.
The figure is expected to slip from 0.4% to 0.3% month-on-month, whilst core CPI is expected to see a slight jump to 0.2% from 0.1%.
Not exactly the kind of progress the Fed wants to see if it is going to raise rates this year.
The preliminary UoM consumer sentiment figure will also be of note, especially since retail sales took a dramatic tumble earlier in the week.
Update by Connor Campbell, Financial Analyst,
[9:00am] A mixed overnight session for stocks.
The US finished the session in slight negative territory due to comments from Fed Chairwoman Janet Yellen and a decline in energy shares which couldn’t be halted by a rebound in the financial sector.
Asian shares finished the session in positive territory after a bailout plan put forward by Greece’s creditors was approved by the Greek Parliament.
The Dow closed 3 points lower at 18,050, the S&P500 dropped 1 point to close at 2,107.
[4:22pm] In the US, Fed chair Janet Yellen's testimony looked remarkably like every other statement she has put out over recent months, insisting that a 2015 rate hike remained on the cards and would be decided upon on a meeting-by-meeting basis.
Granted, US employment has been relatively strong over recent months, following a chilly first quarter.
A September rate hike remains a possibility, but history dictates that the Fed will more likely than not find another reason to hold off.
Update by Joshua Mahony, Research Analyst,
[4:12pm] US stocks opened fairly flat on Wednesday, reflecting confusion over a mixed set of economic data and corporate earnings and hawkish comments from Fed Chair Janet Yellen pointing to a rate hike this year.
Bank of America impressed through cost savings over the year ago period and Delta Airlines beat estimates while Yum! Brands disappointed with lower sales.
Mrs Yellen was generally pretty upbeat on the outlook for the US economy, brushing aside international risks and choosing to look through the pockets of weakness domestically.
She said there was likely to be a rate hike in 2015 so long as the economy evolves as expected but said a high degree of monetary accommodation remains appropriate.
The Fed Chair referenced some slack in labour market but said there are tentative signs of wage improvement and said inflation should head back to target in medium term as oil and dollar effects fade.
There was no mention of concern about the US consumer in the light of June’s disappointing retail sales data.
[10:35am] Updated Dow Jones COT Report
The latest COT Report (Commitments of Traders) for the Dow Jones futures market has been released by the CFTC, please see our Dow Jones COT report below.
The sound of squawking hawks is only growing louder in the US, with another stellar afternoon of data giving extra credence to calls for a rate hike in September.
Better than expected final and ISM manufacturing PMIs, and strong construction spending, were all window dressing for an impressive ADP non-farm figure.
The Dow Jones managed to maintain gains due to the positivity in Europe.
This didn’t stop the dollar opening up ground against a basket of currencies; things might be tougher tomorrow, with an early non-farm figure (due to the 4th July weekend) forecast to fall short of the muscular 280,000 posted last month.
Update by Connor Campbell, Financial Analyst,
[9:48am] US Markets Aim Higher
After being dictated to by a Mediterranean country many would struggle to point to on a map, US traders took their destiny back into their own hands as they drove equities higher.
Once again the focus of this short week is back on economic data, with today’s manufacturing and ADP figures and tomorrow’s earlier-than-normal non-farm payroll figures set to see them through the long weekend.
Ahead of the open we expect the Dow Jones to start 95 points higher at 17,714.
Update by Alastair McCaig, Market Analyst,
[4:19pm] US markets made a strong open on Tuesday But...
They gave back gains after strong consumer confidence and housing data increased the likelihood of higher interest rates this year, while concerns remained over the fate of Puerto Rico.
Consumer confidence beat expectations in June coming in at 101.4 when 97.1 was expected, up from 95.4 in May. The Case-Shiller home price index hit its highest level since 2008.
Puerto Rico’s president announcing that the country cannot afford to pay its $72bn in debt was a reminder that it’s not just external debt problems that can destabilise US markets.
The United States central government has ruled out a bailout and the US territory is not a municipality so cannot restructure its debt with formal bankruptcy.
Apple share were up 0.5% in early trading on the day its music streaming service goes live.
Shares of newly-listed FitBit were up over 6% after new coverage from a broker suggested the company was gaining market share in the growing wearable fitness market.
Update by Jasper Lawler, Market Analyst,
[4:02pm] The US has its own debt crisis in the form of Puerto Rico, but this appears to be troubling US traders in only a modest fashion.
The greater distance from Greece also lessens the impact of this never-ending crisis, and thus dip buyers have been emboldened once again.
Crucially, the number of S+P 500 members trading at four-week lows has hit its highest level since mid-December, raising the prospect that we could see a mid-summer rally for equity markets.
Over the past year this indicator has been handy in calling the dips, and a sudden announcement of Greek progress could be the catalyst for a big move higher.
With US markets off on Friday, the potential for a pre-holiday rally is there.
A spreads account would also let you speculate on short-term daily Dow Jones markets. Users should note that accounts are normally subject to suitability, credit and status checks.
Should your application be approved then you can log on and study the charts and the current prices. These are normally free. Having said that, you might get the occasional sales letter or email from the spread trading company.
Of course, if you do trade then, before starting, you should note that CFD trading and financial spread trading carry a high degree of risk to your funds and can result in losses that are greater than your initial investment.
Advanced Charts for the Dow Jones
Although charting software/packages can vary across the industry, to help your analysis of the Dow Jones, they often come with useful tools like:
Drawing features and options e.g. Trendlines, Fibonacci Arcs, Fans and Time Zones
Different display options e.g. candlestick charts and bar charts
A host of different time periods e.g. 1 minute, 3 minute, 5 minute, 15 minute, 1 hour, 1 day etc.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average, often referred to as the Dow, Dow 30 or Dow Jones, is one of the world's most well known markets.
The Dow represents a selection of thirty of the biggest American public companies. It's used to measure the performance of these corporations whilst also reflecting the state of the American economy and, to a degree, the world economy.
In spread betting and CFD trading, rather than being called the Dow, Dow Jones or Dow 30 it is often called 'Wall Street' or the 'US 30'.
Dow Jones Spread Betting: Firms with High Share Prices are the Most Important
If you want to profit from trading the FTSE 100, the biggest corporations are the most important. Because of the way the FTSE 100 index is weighted, movements in the share prices of the largest corporations affect the FTSE 100 index more than price movements in the shares of smaller companies.
However, the Dow Jones Industrial Average is not 'price weighted'. This means that a one point increase or decrease by any share in the index will have the same effect as a one point increase or decrease of any other share.
As of April 2012, share prices on the DJIA range from around $8-9 (Bank of America and Alcoa) to almost $210 (IBM).
So, a 10% shift in IBM's share price (around $21) would account for a large movement in the Dow Jones index (around 160 points).
However, a 10% shift in Bank of America's share price (around $0.90) would only lead to a very small change in the Dow Jones (around 7 points). This isn't because IBM is a bigger corporation, it is because IBM's share price is much higher.
The other high value shares to watch out for in the Dow Jones are, as of April 2012, Caterpillar, Chevron and McDonalds.
Dow Jones Stock Market Index: Different Trading Times
The Dow is based on Wall Street however, not all 30 companies that make up the DJIA are based on America's East coast.
So, when the Dow Jones opens for trading, the value is determined only by the relatively few companies that open first. The opening price on the Dow will therefore always be close to the previous day's closing price.
As a result, the Dow Jones will never accurately reflect the true opening prices of all its companies.
If you are looking to trade on the Dow Jones, you need to be very careful when you open your position. Whilst the FTSE 100 might 'hit the ground running' with all companies opening at the same time, the Dow Jones doesn't work in the same way. Investors should monitor opening and closing prices so they can be confident of opening a position at the right time.
Dow Jones Spread Betting: Know the Shares
One of the advantages of trading the Dow Jones is that there are only 30 corporations in the index. Therefore it's easier to keep an eye on each of the component companies and what's happening to their share price.
Some traders believe that it is good practice to have a number of shares that you regularly follow. The aim of this is to get to know these shares and become familiar with their price movements.
Keeping tabs on all FTSE 100 companies is tough, it's hard to know exactly what is happening to all the shares at any given time. However, watching 30 Dow Jones stocks is more manageable. You can get to know each company's typical share movements and that can help you forecast where the Dow Jones will head next.
Speculating on the stock market always comes with a degree of risk. However, if you would like to use a Demo Account, that allows you to practice spread betting on a wide range of markets, please see below for further details.
When you think about which investment option is right for you, don't forget that, in the UK, financial spread betting is currently tax free*.
If you are trying to find a low cost financial spread betting website then keep in mind that you can trade the Dow Jones without having to pay any commissions or brokers' fees through companies such as:
Each of the spread betting companies listed above offer a Test Account which lets users apply a range of trading orders, test new trading ideas and review stock market charts.
How to Spread Bet on the Dow Jones?
As with a wide variety of financial markets, investors can spread bet on indices, like the Dow Jones, to either rise or fall.
If you go to the Financial Spreads platform, you can see that they have priced the Dow Jones Rolling Daily market at 13343.0 - 13345.0. This means that an investor could put a spread bet on the Dow Jones index:
Moving above 13345.0, or
Moving below 13343.0
When you spread bet on the Dow Jones index you trade in £x per point, where a point is one point of the index itself. As a result, if you invested £4 per point and the Dow Jones moves 26 points then that would be a difference to your profit/loss of £104. £4 per point x 26 points = £104.
Rolling Daily Indices Markets
This is a Rolling Daily Market which means that there is no set settlement date for this market. You do not have to close your position, should it still be open at the end of the trading day, it simply rolls over to the next trading day.
If you do let your position roll over into the next day and are spread betting on the market to:
Go higher - then you are charged a small overnight financing fee, or
Go lower - then a small payment is normally credited to your account
Now, if you think about the spread of 13343.0 - 13345.0 and assume that:
You have analysed the indices markets, and
You think that the Dow Jones index will increase and move above 13345.0
Then you may go long of the market at 13345.0 and invest, for example, £5 per point.
Therefore, with this trade you make a profit of £5 for every point that the Dow Jones index moves higher than 13345.0. However, it also means you will lose £5 for every point that the Dow Jones market moves below 13345.0.
Considering this from another angle, if you were to buy a spread bet then your P&L is worked out by taking the difference between the final price of the market and the initial price you bought the spread at. You then multiply that price difference by the stake.
Therefore, if after a few days the US stock market moved higher then you might think about closing your trade and guaranteeing your profits.
Taking this a step further, if the stock market did go up then the spread might change to 13380.4 - 13382.4. You would close your spread bet by selling at 13380.4. As a result, with the same £5 stake your profit would be calculated as:
P&L = (Closing Price - Initial Price) x stake
P&L = (13380.4 - 13345.0) x £5 per point stake
P&L = 35.4 x £5 per point stake
P&L = £177.00 profit
Trading the American stock market is not simple. In the above example, you had bet that the US index would rise. Of course, the stock market can fall.
If, contrary to your expectations, the Dow Jones fell, then you might decide to close your trade to stop any further losses.
So if the spread pulled back to 13313.1 - 13315.1 you would close your position by selling at 13313.1. This would result in a loss of:
P&L = (Closing Price - Initial Price) x stake
P&L = (13313.1 - 13345.0) x £5 per point stake
P&L = -31.9 x £5 per point stake
P&L = -£159.50 loss
Note - Dow Jones Rolling Daily spread quoted as of 11-Sep-12.
How to Trade Dow Futures
Looking at a site like InterTrader, we can see they are currently offering the Dow Jones December Futures market at 13408 - 13414. This means an investor could speculate on the Dow Jones index:
Closing above 13414, or
Closing below 13408
On the expiry date for this 'December' market, 21-Dec-12.
As with the daily market above, you trade the Dow Futures in £x per point. So if your stake is £5 per point and the Dow moves 27 points then that would make a difference to your profits (or losses) of £135. £5 per point x 27 points = £135.
Dow Jones Futures Trading Example
If we take the above spread of 13408 - 13414 and make the assumptions that:
You have done your analysis of the American futures market, and
Your analysis suggests the US index will settle above 13414 by 21-Dec-12
Then you could decide to buy the market at 13414 and risk, for the sake of argument, £2 per point.
With this contract you make a gain of £2 for every point that the US index moves higher than 13414. Nevertheless, you will make a loss of £2 for every point that the Dow Jones market goes lower than 13414.
Put another way, with spread trading, your profits (or losses) are worked out by taking the difference between the closing price of the market and the price you bought the market at. You then multiply that price difference by the stake.
So, if on the expiry date, the Dow Jones closed at 13488, then:
Profit / loss = (Closing Value - Opening Value) x stake
Profit / loss = (13488 - 13414) x £2 per point stake
Profit / loss = 74 x £2 per point stake
Profit / loss = £148 profit
Of course trading the American stock market futures is rarely that straightforward. In the above example, you wanted the Dow to rise. Of course, the stock market index could fall.
If the futures had fallen and settled at 13334 on the expiry date, then you would end up losing this trade.
Profit / loss = (Closing Value - Opening Value) x stake
Profit / loss = (13334 - 13414) x £2 per point stake
Profit / loss = -80 x £2 per point stake
Profit / loss = -£160 loss
Note - Dow Jones December Futures market taken as of 27-Sep-12.
Risk Management: Spread Betting on the US Stock Market with a Stop Loss
You can put a limit on the size of your position to help reduce your potential losses without impacting your upside. You can also employ smaller stake sizes such as £1 per point or $1 per point.
Let’s say you spread bet on the Dow to go up, with a £1 per point stake and attach a Stop Loss order to your trade. If the US stock market goes up by 120 points then you would make 120 points x £1 per point = £120.
You are also able to trade the markets in Euros and Dollars. If you want to trade in dollars then 120 points x $1 per point = $120.
Of course if the market went against you, dropping by say 90 points, then with a £1 stake you would lose 90 points x £1 per point = £90.
Obviously this would be a fairly poor start. However, with firms like Financial Spreads you can add a Stop Loss at let's say, 30 points.
If you were trading the Dow this would mean that your position would be closed if the US index moved against you by 30 points. Therefore, instead of losing £90, you'd only lose 30 points x £1 per point = £30.
However, assuming you correctly predicted the direction of the market, your upside would still be £120.
Note that Stop Losses are not guaranteed, if a market slips then your Stop Loss is closed out at the next traded price. If you don’t want that risk then you can use a Guaranteed Stop Loss, these are guaranteed to close your trade even if the underlying market slips (gaps).
A number of firms like Financial Spreads, InterTrader and Capital Spreads automatically apply a Stop Loss to every trade. You can upgrade to a Guaranteed Stop Loss but that normally comes at a small premium (normally a wider spread).
'Dow Jones Spread Betting' edited by Jacob Wood, updated 27-Jul-15
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Dow Jones Spread Betting
Dow Jones financial spread betting guide with a price comparison and daily analysis. Plus live Dow Jones charts & prices, where to spread bet on the stock market index commission-free and... » read from top.