This week we have more on tapering and the recent US FOMC meeting. As usual, Bill Hubard, Chief Economist of Markets.com, has some interesting thoughts including some longer-term views:
  • First US interest rate hike to be in Q3 2015
  • Tapering to start September/October 2013 with a $10bn reduction but to finish by around August 2014
  • The dollar is strong against the exotic currencies but still weak against the euro, the dollar is effectively being supported by the emerging market currencies
  • We may see artificial drops in US and UK unemployment
  • Are currently seeing big moves in short-term US bonds (1-3yr bonds)
  • Investors are not leaving stocks but they are repositioning themselves
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