Will a Lack of Fed QE See the EUR/USD Sell-Off?


A more technical look at the markets from InterTrader

Tuesday saw the EUR/USD post remarkable gains, as positive market sentiment pushed the pair above the $1.24 level to close at $1.2469.

FX spread betting markets around the globe are heading for a bull-run amid rising speculation that political leaders can carve out a plan to tame the crisis in the Euro region.

Due to this, the meetings between leaders in Europe are likely to set the tone for the price action this week.

Europe, however, has taught us one lesson recently. Every time signs of hope enter the marketplace, they always get squashed by someone. This could, once again, only be a matter of time.

EUR/USD Forex Chart
EUR/USD Forex Chart


The pair is currently trading right under the resistance level at $1.25 and there is strong resistance all the way up to $1.27.

With the Federal Reserve soon to release the minutes from its last meeting and with no signs of quantitative easing in the horizon, there is a possibility that the pair could sell-off.

$1.2421 is the near-term support level for the bears to watch.

The pair is currently at the top of a rising wedge and the RSI is approaching overbought levels on the daily chart.

Taking these into consideration, the technical set up suggests that the recent upward movement may be matured and further upside could be limited.

A break below the $1.2421 level could open the door for further movement all the way down to $1.2280.

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Good luck and happy trading

Dafni Sedari, InterTrader

(Original article written 22 August 2012).