With no political bad news on oil and a slowing economy in the States left the black stuff with nowhere to go but down. Reading Mr Ambrose Evans-Pritchard’s comment in today’s Telegraph gives a strong indication of the knife edge that economies such as Russia are in over the price of Crude Oil. The temptation for producers such as these to sell as much forward supply as possible at current prices must be very strong and there is a strong possibility that $100 bucks a barrel will just be a memory in a few years time.
Crude Oil Spread Betting, 1 Feb 08
Crude Oil is also stuck at around current levels with Brent Crude Oil March spread at $92.20-$92.25. The attempt to the downside yesterday was swiftly defeated and this will be giving the bulls some optimism. On the contra argument, we are now coming out of the winter months and demand for the black stuff will abate to some extent.
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Crude Oil Spread Betting, 29 Jan 08
The Gold markets hit new highs yesterday as the bulls continue to fill their boots. The Financial Spreads Account holders continue to buy on anything approaching weakness and the recent fall down to $850 seems to have been the shake out that was required to give momentum for the next push higher.
Bulls remain fixated on the El-Dorado of $1000. However as the Crude Oil Traders found in 2006, the ‘almost attainable’ $100 level may take a little longer than expected. Today we are calling the Gold spread at $924.0-$924.5 off a touch overnight but there is not much activity in early trade.
Crude Oil Spread Betting, 25 Jan 08
With the renewed confidence in world growth Oil has spiked higher again and Brent Crude is now hovering just under the $90 level with a Crude Oil spread at $89.35-$89.40. Trading seems very two way at the moment with bulls and bears fighting it out. The US stimulus package may have a nasty little sting in its tail on the inflation front but if you ask people if they would rather have a job and a bit of inflation or no job but happy Central Bankers I am pretty sure what the answer would be.
Crude Oil Spread Betting, 23 Jan 08
Crude Oil prices remain depressed (to the extent that they are still only in the high $80s rather than the $90s). Capital Spreads Account holders have found these levels comfortable enough to take out new long positions expecting a possible attempt at the $100 level in the coming weeks. With inventory data out at 15h30 today, the oil markets will be closely watched.
Crude Oil Spread Betting, 21 Jan 08
With Crude Oil beginning to slip we might expect some breaking of ranks in OPEC as producers try to sell as much of the black stuff at these high prices as possible. In the final account there is not much love lost or agreement between the Oil producing nations (apart from a general dislike of the US). So unless there is some increased political tension traders are beginning to put a toe into the sell side for a change.
'UK Crude Oil Spread Trading' by DB, updated 01-Feb-08
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