Trading the Global Oil Markets in 2011
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Trading the Global Oil Markets in 2011

Trading the Global Oil Markets in 2011

World-wide oil supplies will peak around 2035 when oil prices should be in excess of $200, the IEA (International Energy Agency) stated in a recent report, as the emerging markets, and particularly China, continue to drive demand higher.

In the IEA’s 2010 World Energy Outlook, stated conventional oil production has already peaked and would level out in the next 10 years. As a result that would increase the dependence on more costly & more damaging unconventional sources that include oil-sands.

Moreover, the IEA, which advises developed countries, lifted its medium-term and longer-term crude oil price forecasts, irrespective of slashing crude oil demand estimates by 2035. The major rationale for the rise is due to supply uncertainty. The statement explained that prices probably would increase even further if governments do not act to restrain consumption.

The demand for OPEC's primary product will be higher than predicted over the next 12 months as global economic growth is boosted with the help of government stimulation programmes, the organisation said recently. The improving economic perspective for a lot of the wealthy economies of the OECD (Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development) was a critical factor powering the sudden upwards revisions to demand forecasts, the group reported.

If you’re trading the crude oil markets, keep in mind that the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries increased its estimation of world-wide oil demand growth for the next 12 months by 120000 barrels a day and now anticipates a rise of roughly 1.15m million barrels a day in global crude oil usage this year compared with last year.

As a whole, the organisations forecasts were more modest than other forecasters and analysts, many of whom suggest consumption will be much higher as emerging economies, particularly the Far East & Latin America, absorb the extra production.


If you are planning to trade the oil markets please also see the following:

Commodities Spread Betting Comparison


Gold Daily - Spread Size 4 5 5 4 5 4 4 7
Gold Daily - Min Stake £1 $0.60 £1 £0.1 £1 £1 £1 £1
Gold Futures - Spread Size 6 8 6 6 7 6 6 14
Gold Futures - Min Stake £1 $0.60 £1 £0.1 £1 £1 £1 £1
Brent Crude Oil Futures - Spread Size 4 6 6 6 5 4 4 12
Brent Crude Oil Futures - Min Stake £1 $2 £1 £0.5 £1 £1 £1 £1
US Crude Oil Futures - Spread Size 4 6 6 6 5 4 4 12
US Crude Oil Futures - Min Stake £1 $2 £1 £0.5 £1 £1 £1 £1
Comparison Notes.


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Risk Warning: Spread betting and CFD trading carry a high level of risk to your capital and you may lose more than your initial investment. Spread betting and CFD trading may not be suitable for all investors. Only speculate with money that you can afford to lose. Please ensure you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent financial advice where necessary.

'Trading the Global Oil Markets in 2011' by DB, updated 15-Feb-11

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Risk Warning: Spread betting and CFD trading carry a high level of risk to your capital and you may lose more than your initial investment. Spread betting and CFD trading may not be suitable for all investors. Only speculate with money that you can afford to lose. Please ensure you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent financial advice where necessary.

The contents on CleanFinancial.com are for information purposes only and are not intended as a recommendation to trade. Nothing on this website should be construed as investment advice.

Neither CleanFinancial.com nor any contributing company/author accept any responsibility for any use that may be made of the above or for the correctness or accuracy of the information provided.


* Tax law is subject to change or may differ if you pay tax in a jurisdiction other than the UK.

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