Korea, Ireland and the Spread Betting Markets
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Korea, Ireland and the Spread Betting Markets

Korea, Ireland and the Spread Betting Markets

Early focus is likely to be on North Korea/South Korea where a few trigger happy idiots seem to be having a bit of a barney.

Markets have reacted slowly with a small sell off in early action but investors have seen these news bytes over the 49th Parallel so many times in the last few years that it is unlikely to build to much more than a small defensive move lower for the time being.

Given their safe haven status, the dollar and gold spread betting markets have rallied a bit from the pre-news levels but it is unlikely that much more will happen unless a more general conflict breaks out. North Korea appears to have shelled a small island which would merely indicate some positioning rather than an outright aggressive move.

The FTSE 100 has reacted and is now down at the lows of yesterday again but is not finding any follow through just yet. Tensions on the other side of the planet are unlikely to push us too far but coming on top of the European Soap Opera we may see more traders decide that taking a bit of money off the table might be a prudent move in the short term.

The reasons for the UK lending Ireland £7bn are reasonable on the face of it (that they are a massive trading partner of ours).

But it might be prudent to ask what it is that we trade with them? In reality the vast majority is probably financial services so the 7bn is actually being lent to prop up HBOS and RBS.

The ancient celts and picts are probably having a good long laugh about the old enemy’s comeuppance. For all of the approbation heaped on ‘The City’ it was not actually the London institutions that went to the government ‘cap in hand’. Edinburgh (RBS and HBOS), the North East (Northern Rock and Bradford and Bingley) and a host of regional Building societies were the weak links.

If Ireland is so important to UK business then we should be very concerned in any case as their budget cuts will send the entire economy into even more of a tail spin than it has already seen. The same can also be said for Spain but as our trade with them seem to be of the holiday variety (and, unless my science is well off track, I am reasonably sure that the sun does not stop shining in times of economic woe) the problem seems less urgent from a UK perspective.

The vast sums flowing across the various Eurozone borders is now reaching critical levels and it is a moot point as to how much longer German voters will continue to sub their more profligate neighbours.

If German taxes are forced higher to pay for the PIGS then we may see rather more pressure for exit routes. The Euro may find that life is actually easier without Germany rather than the without the weaker members.

Forex Spread Betting Markets Comparison


EUR / USD Daily - Spread Size 1 1 1 2 0.8 1 1 1
EUR / USD Daily - Min Stake £1 £0.50 £0.50 £0.5 £1 £1 £1 £1
GBP / USD Daily - Spread Size 2 2 2 3 0.8 2 2 2
GBP / USD Daily - Min Stake £1 £0.50 £0.50 £0.5 £1 £1 £1 £1
EUR / GBP Daily - Spread Size 1 2 2 1 1 1 1 2
EUR / GBP Daily - Min Stake £1 £0.50 £0.50 £0.5 £1 £1 £1 £1
USD / JPY Daily - Spread Size 0.8 2 1 2 0.8 0.8 0.8 2
USD / JPY Daily - Min Stake £1 £0.50 £0.50 £0.5 £1 £1 £1 £1
Comparison Notes.


Risk Warning: Spread betting and CFD trading carry a high level of risk to your capital and you may lose more than your initial investment. Spread betting and CFD trading may not be suitable for all investors. Only speculate with money that you can afford to lose. Please ensure you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent financial advice where necessary.

'Korea, Ireland and the Spread Betting Markets' by DB, updated 23-Nov-10

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Risk Warning: Spread betting and CFD trading carry a high level of risk to your capital and you may lose more than your initial investment. Spread betting and CFD trading may not be suitable for all investors. Only speculate with money that you can afford to lose. Please ensure you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent financial advice where necessary.

The contents on CleanFinancial.com are for information purposes only and are not intended as a recommendation to trade. Nothing on this website should be construed as investment advice.

Neither CleanFinancial.com nor any contributing company/author accept any responsibility for any use that may be made of the above or for the correctness or accuracy of the information provided.


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