Indices Spread Betting October 2009
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Indices Spread Betting October 2009

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Indices Spread Trading

A regular Indices spread trading update by Simon Denham of Capital Spreads. For the latest Indices spread trading update, click here.

Spread Betting on Indices, 9 Oct 2009

The FTSE 100 is looking to open at around 5145 still within striking distance of the 5200 resistance which is where we have been for much of the last four weeks. Dealers will be hoping for, and attempt, the level but it must be admitted that even if we do break higher there may be a sense of ‘last gasp’ about it.

While our clients are being cautious, there is a definite sense of building small shorts at the current levels and, looking at the technicals, we might conclude that the 5200 level is showing signs of being a ‘bridge too far’ just for the moment.

All the major Western indices are showing signs of fatigue at the current levels with the Dax, Dow and S&P also hammering at the same resistance highs which were put in place in mid September.

If they all ‘go’ at once there could be an almighty spike higher but we really need some definite piece of good news to make the move. It is unlikely that today will deliver the impulse but if it does we could be in for a ride as a Friday move is often dramatic. Recently, Friday’s have either been very good or static as the pressure higher builds up during the weeks sessions and then shorts get driven out not wanting to risk the weekend.

Spread Betting on Indices, 8 Oct 2009

It was a difficult day yesterday with the markets seemingly not able to move one way or the other. While today is opening up brightly, the FTSE 100 is struggling to make it above 5160 which was the failure points for both Tuesday and Wednesday.

We are seeing heavy selling on the off (above 5150) which, to be fair, given the resistance in previous sessions, is a reasonable enough action on the part of our clients.

There should be an awareness though from sellers that if we do establish a foothold above 5160-70 then there could be a sharp move higher as weak sell positions may be forced out.

Spread Betting on Indices, 7 Oct 2009

The FTSE 100 has been sluggish this morning and hardly surprising after yesterday’s good run higher.

The commodities move maybe on the back of optimism surrounding the global economic recovery but the re-emergence of higher inflation prospects won’t be taken lightly.

The FTSE is still below resistance around the 5200 level and yet to make a higher high since retracing. The same can be said for the S&P which is still another 20 points below its recent high - some 200 points in Dow terms.

Sainsbury followed its counterpart Tesco in seeing its share price fall after reporting a rise in sales for Q2, but much less than Q1 and lower than expectations.

Even the supermarkets are feeling the pinch and stiff competition is reducing sales. The next few months will be a real test of just how much the consumer is willing to spend during this year’s festive season.

In the absence of any meaningful economic data there is also a degree of apprehension ahead of the US earning season that gets underway today with Alcoa reporting first as usual.

So, investors wait with bated breath to see if corporate American can match the share price expectations that have been built in by investors during this stock market recovery.

Spread Betting on Indices, 6 Oct 2009

We are in a bit of a rut at the moment and following last week’s sell off the bulls have hardly been rushing back into equities to pick up cheap stock.

Maybe it is the weather that has suddenly turned miserable and is influencing the bearish undertones of this morning’s comment. Nevertheless the market seems to be shrugging off the bad news and focusing on the good.

Mining stocks are flavour of the day once again and defensive stocks are heading up the losers. Mining stocks have benefited from a good move overnight in Asian markets and also seem to like the Australian interest rate hike, which is the first rate hike from a G20 nation since the crunch.

Gains have been capped somewhat and there has not been the same mad rush to buy stock as there has been every time the market has dipped in the last few months.

It shows how there is a degree of apprehension ahead of the US earnings season which gets underway tomorrow. What investors really want to see now is that corporate profitability can catch up with the earnings estimates. Firms have largely been through the bout of cost cutting, although there is more to be done, so now we want to see revenue increases.

Spread Betting on Indices, 5 Oct 2009

The FTSE has tried to open higher this morning but selling pressure has immediately been in evidence. Some of the corporate cash calls are having to be pulled as it seems the appetite for stock is not quite as good as has been thought.

As we enter the third quarter reporting season there is a natural worry that corporate announcements will not reflect the optimism of the markets over the last four months.

With profits to be had for many buyers since this time last year it is not a difficult conclusion to speculate as to whether many investors are finding discretion to be the better part of valour.

As mentioned on Friday, with the FTSE 100 there is support from 4980-5020 and then down at 4930-4940. We seem to be finding it easy to sell down to the bottom of the first range but cannot, for the moment, approach the second.

Spread betting account holders are buying the Indices as I write hoping for a repeat of Friday where we oscillated around the 4975 to 5010 for most of the session after a brief foray lower on the worse than expected Non Farm Payroll data.

For all the vast sums being spent by President Obama the net effect right down at the bottom line seem to be still difficult to judge. For the sake of the economy as a whole we must hope that all the stimulus does not fizzle out into a damp squib.

For those wanting a continuation of the bull move the charts would suggest that we had better stay above 4940 and hopefully regain the 5050 level soon. The longer we stay below this point the more ‘attractive’ will become a return to the range between 4600 and 4800.

Price update:
  • The FTSE 100 closed last week down -93.5 points at 4988.7 (down -1.84% week-on-week)
  • Wall St (Dow) closed last week down -177.52 points at 9487.67 (down -1.84% week-on-week)
  • The Nasdaq 100 closed last week down -42.81 points at 2048.11 (down -2.05% week-on-week)
  • The S&P 500 closed last week down -19.17 points at 1025.21 (down -1.84% week-on-week)
  • The CAC 40 closed last week down -89.24 points at 3649.9 (down -2.39% week-on-week)
  • The DAX 30 closed last week down -113.51 points at 5467.9 (down -2.03% week-on-week)
  • The Nikkei 225 closed last week down -534.11 points at 9731.87 (down -5.2% week-on-week)
Also see:


Financial Spreads >> "With FinancialSpreads.com you get all the normal
advantages of Spread Betting plus..." >> read Financial Spreads review.

Spread Betting on Indices, 2 Oct 2009

A bit of a pull back yesterday as the market reacted to err...nothing very much on the day...but the combined weight of the recent data has been far more mixed than many would like.

Of real concern was the Purchasing Managers figure on Wednesday which was much weaker than expected and although the later oil inventories were slightly better this should not have been enough to out do the more important data.

The FTSE 100 is some 180 from the highs now and close to the 5000 level. Investors are probably worrying as to whether this is the precursor to another collapse.

We did mention in this comment on the last day of September that October is generally not a happy month when things are murky. As mentioned, traders have long memories and are mindful of other investors’ possible actions as well. The human reaction to the sell off on the first day of the month was probably not so unexpected.

At the moment we are worried but that is all, technically the FTSE could pull back a great deal further than this and still maintain its bull trend momentum.

The first support region is 4980 to 5020 where we are now, below here is 4930 to 4940 but the really important one is around 4780 to 4800. This is still over 200 points away.

Our comments last week and earlier this week over the DAX 30’s inability to get above the 5760 mark should have made spread betting clients who followed the chart a nice little packet. We are now 250 points away down at 5500.

As with the FTSE, the German Index is now in a support region from late August. A close below 5480 might worry traders as this could open us up to a move to the 5260 support.

Spread Betting on Indices, 1 Oct 2009

The markets are pretty much where they were this time yesterday - a bit lower for the Dow, S&P and Dax but not significantly.

This high range of above 5100, 5700, 9700 and 1050 for the FTSE 100, DAX 30, Dow Jones and S&P 500 respectively is becoming very clingy.

We have had several attempts over the last week or two to take us back down but none of them have amounted to much and the pull towards the highs has seemed irresistible.

Shorts would have been happy for all of an hour or so yesterday but the move lower was quickly reversed and by the time the Dow’s session had finished the losses had largely been recouped.

Historically October is a bad month for equity markets, but then we observed that about September which started poorly and then promptly contributed to the best quarter of gains on record for the FTSE 100.

However financial markets never forget and for those of us that remember the crash of 87, it was preceded by the second biggest quarterly gain on record - Q1 1987.

So there seems to be a little apprehension to the start to this month. Whilst we bounced strongly off the 20 day moving average on 28 September, we are yet to take out the recent highs and some indicators are pointing downwards.

A test of support around 5080 cannot be ruled out and looks more likely if the market is unable to take out the September highs around 5200.

The markets also seem happy to just drift sideways for the time being ahead of tomorrow’s NFP with currencies, gold and oil largely flat-to-lower.

Spread Betting on Indices, 30 Sep 2009

So far this month every time the FTSE 100 has gone above 5150 the sellers have crept out of the woodwork and the ensuing drops have paid off with buyers returning as we approach 5100 or go beneath it. For some reason this morning has seen a reversal of this normal phenomenon with buyers seemingly confident that the rejection of weakness on Monday presages a new bull phase.

The FTSE is opening pretty much unchanged at around the 5165 level and the resistance remains (naturally) at above 5175 up to 5200 as the highs of seven of the last nine trading sessions have been in this range.

The support levels are rather further away with the first reasonable one being 5095 – 5105 and then 5045. With nothing really to go for this morning we might expect to drift until the US session.

After our comments yesterday at the major resistance between 5750 -5760, the DAX 30 had yet another abortive attempt at the range failing once more bang in the middle of it at 5757 before immediately reversing back down to the 5700 level.

Even though the level was rejected it must be noted that we are still within striking distance of it and continual attempts are likely to eventually lead to a break through, assuming nothing else happens first. However, if there is a pull back it could be very violent indeed.

Spread Betting on Indices, 29 Sep 2009

What a strange day. Yesterday started with virtually every asset class taking a bit of a battering. IT ended with the FTSE, Dax, Dow and S&P all pushing towards the recent highs (but none actually threatening them), Sterling reversing the Far East weakness and Oil recovering some stability before tomorrow’s inventories.

Today has already seen an exciting opening 10 minutes (as with yesterday) as the opening call at just above 5175 on the FTSE was immediately sold into and the Futures took a 30 point battering.

The first few minutes have a disconcerting similarity to the last session and bulls will be hoping that the outcome is much the same with 50-60 point rally to the close.

At the moment, with the FTSE 100 spread betting market, 5175-5180 looks to be good resistance and 5130 to 5140 looks like support. The obvious major barrier is the high from 18 September, ie close to 5200. We might need a bit more good news to get above this.

The DAX 30 seems to be building a particularly impressive high resistance with five of the last eight sessions all failing in the same 10 point range of 5750-5760.

Any attempt above here may well cause another sharp move higher but obviously a continued failure to break higher may cause some fatigue to enter the equation. Yesterday’s complete rejection of the sell off down to 5550 and the 200 point move up to 5750 would seem to indicate that the bull run still has some legs but the failure to actually go that extra yard above 5760 will be worrying.

Spread Betting on Indices, 28 Sep 2009

This morning sees a bit of weakness across the board with the FTSE 100 trading some 30 points lower along with the S&P 500, Gold and Oil.

However there has already been a bit of an odd opening in some indices with the Dax rallying from 5580 at 7.00am to 5645 by 8.00am and back down to a low of 5555 by 8.30am.

The FTSE followed suit with a high-low range of 50 points briefly looking like regaining the 5100 level before scooting back down to just under 5050. There is some solid support from 5038 to 5048 and bulls will be hoping that this is not tested successfully in this session.

A breach of this mind-5050s area may well open the index up for a move down to 4950. At the moment the chances still favour the upside as dealers remain overwhelmingly bearish and there are too many weak shorts in the market.

That said it must be noted that the news summary and analysis over the weekend was not of the encouraging kind with many commentators worry that the stream of good(ish) news might be about to give out. There is something obviously upsetting the BoE as their every statement seems to get ever more cautious.

Price update:
  • The FTSE 100 closed last week up -90.7 points at 5082.2 (up -1.75% week-on-week)
  • Wall St (Dow) closed last week up -155.01 points at 9665.19 (up -1.58% week-on-week)
  • The Nasdaq 100 closed last week up -41.94 points at 2090.92 (up -1.97% week-on-week)
  • The S&P 500 closed last week up -23.92 points at 1044.38 (up -2.24% week-on-week)
  • The CAC 40 closed last week up -88.7 points at 3739.14 (up -2.32% week-on-week)
  • The DAX 30 closed last week up -122.42 points at 5581.41 (up -2.15% week-on-week)
  • The Nikkei 225 closed last week down -104.56 points at 10265.98 (down -1.01% week-on-week)
Also see:


Financial Spreads >> "With FinancialSpreads.com you get all the normal
advantages of Spread Betting plus..." >> read Financial Spreads review.


Risk Warning: Spread betting carries a high level of risk to your capital. You may lose more than your initial investment. It may not be suitable for all investors. Only speculate with money that you can afford to lose. Please ensure you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent financial advice where necessary.

'Indices Spread Betting October 2009' by DB, updated 09-Oct-09

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Indices market news: Indices are a tad weaker after the US indulged in one of its late night sell offs with the Dow Jones dropping 200 points from its highs and the S&P giving up on the 1400 level for now. The FTSE is called to come in 30 points lower at around...read article.


Indices Trading April 2008, updated 25-Apr-08
Indices market news: The trading range of the FTSE almost exactly matched the previous days efforts with the ultimate result also almost identical. The markets continue to wrestle with the 5970 to 6100 range and my comment about many traders waiting for one or the other to be defeated still remains in place. Yesterdays action was an absolute boon to FinancialSpreads.com clients who as mentioned in yesterdays comment have been heavy sellers at anything above...read article.


Indices Spread Bets April 2008, updated 11-Apr-08
Indices markets: Despite slightly negative taint to todays report, the FTSE 100 this morning has opened much better than expected causing a Gap higher on the open. Yesterdays reversal from the lows at around 3pm yesterday was so sharp and took many Financial Spreads clients by surprise that it could be a signal that...read article.


Indices March Spread Trading, updated 28-Mar-08
Indices markets: The FTSE 100 is likely to open almost unchanged at around the 5710 level having looked weaker overnight in the US late trading session but deciding, on reflection, to hold onto the gains of yesterday. As mentioned in yesterdays comment there is a small sense of confidence brewing with our Capital Spreads clients, not huge, but enough to be noticeable on our books. The next...read article.


Indices March Spread Betting, updated 14-Mar-08
Indices market information: The FTSE is reacting to the 400 point rally in the Dow last night with another 80 points to the upside as we regain the 5700 level with some ease. The FTSE 100 Spread is now at 5775-5776. Financial institutions are likely to be...read article.


Indices February Spread Trading, updated 29-Feb-08
Indices market information: Another 100+ point movement day on the FTSE yesterday as the markets rejected the break out (again) and slumped back below 6000. To their credit the Financial Spreads clients never believed in the break out and sold virtually anything above the 6000 level and were rewarded in...read article.


Real-time Indices Prices and Charts, updated 15-Feb-08
Indices pricing information: The FTSE rather disappointed yesterday after a very late sell off took us from 30 or so up on the day into negative territory. Today we are looking to come in just slightly to the downside at around the 5875 level. There is hope that...read article.


UK Indices Spread Trading, updated 01-Feb-08
UK Indices Spread Trading: The FTSE 100 Spread is called 30 up this morning at 5910-5911 which is just below a bit of a resistance level at 5920. For all of the bad news around it is wise to remember that...read article.


Spread Betting on Indices, updated 18-Jan-08
Compare Indices spreads. Free Indices spread trading information, where to find free Indices charts and prices, how to spread bet on Stock Market Indices and...read article.


Indices Trading Online, updated 21-Dec-07
Find out where you can Trade Indices Online for free plus your Indices trading questions answered, tips on getting free Indices charts, real time prices and...read article.


Indices Futures Trading, updated 07-Dec-07
Where to trade Indices Futures plus updated Indices trading news and the most popular Indices questions answered....read article.


Indices Broker, updated 23-Nov-07
Where to find free Indices Brokers plus regular Indices financial trading news as well as the most popular Indices questions answered....read article.


Indices Platform, updated 09-Nov-07
Where to find free Indices Platforms plus updated Indices trading news as well as the most popular Indices queries answered....read article.


Indices Software, updated 26-Oct-07
Where to find free Indices Software information plus updated Indices trading news as well as the most popular Indices queries answered....read article.


Indices Prices, updated 04-Feb-08
Where to find free Indices Prices plus updated Indices news as well as your top Indices questions answered....read article.


Selling the FTSE 100, updated 12-Dec-08
Q) Where can I Trade for Free on FTSE 100? Q) How to Spread Bet on FTSE 100? Q) Where can I find Free Live Prices on FTSE 100?...The Answers...read article.


Financial Spread Bet on Wall Street, updated 11-Dec-08
Q) Where can I Trade for Free on Wall Street? Q) How to Spread Bet on Wall Street? Q) Where can I find Free Live Prices on Wall Street? The Answers...read article.


Spread Bet on Stock Market Indices, updated 01-Dec-08
To spread bet on stock market indices you do so in the same way as other spreads bets. A number of spread betting firms offer both a daily and futures Index market...read article.


How to Spread Bet Stock Market Indices, updated 17-Mar-10
How to Spread Bet on Indices - an introduction to stock market betting. If you are looking for FTSE, Dow Jones, DAX or another major market like the NASDAQ and Nikkei, you're on the right website...read article.


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