Indices Spread Betting April 2009
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Indices Spread Trading
A regular Indices spread trading update by Simon Denham of Capital Spreads. For the latest Indices spread trading update, click here.
Spread Betting on Indices, 9 Apr 2009
Relief that the supports all held yesterday has given a boost to traders this morning and buyers are continuing to fill up on stock. Early calls in the FTSE 100 were for a move 50 higher but this was swiftly smacked back down on the open. We are currently sitting at around 3950 on the FTSE up 25 on yesterday’s close.
Once again the news all appears to be grim but not quite as grim as expected. Dealers can be forgiven for taking anything that is not actually a disaster as good news, as investors and analysts try to pick through today to estimate tomorrow.
Punters are still trading the ranges and this morning we are seeing selling on the move higher in the indices as the ‘contra move’ trading strategy continues to pay good dividends. The markets are looking to confirm their comfort with the 3700 to 4150 range and, intraday, punters are taking good advantage of markets inability to break out.
Spread Betting on Indices, 8 Apr 2009
As feared in yesterday’s comment markets seemed unable to pick up on the recent move higher and the Dow traded down throughout the session to close almost 200 points off. My target support at 7730 was avoided (just) but early action this morning is seeing prices down at 7700, under the recent trend rally line, and investors will be worrying that the move higher over the past month will disappear in a puff of smoke.
One of the problems at the moment is the speed with which events unfold into price action. We are just 400 points off the recent highs in the Dow Jones and still 1300 points above the lows and yet the TV punditry and comment is all about ‘dead cat bounces’ and returns to a bear market.
In reality the markets remain very range bound and the US markets found that the 8000 to 8100 area was just too big a resistance level to get through just yet. It must be remembered that this very range acted as a very solid support in January with day after day trading and retrading the 7900 to 8200 price span. This type of price action builds up very strong volume resistance to moves in either direction.
The Far East has come in for a pounding overnight with the Nikkei 225 off 250 points and the Hang Seng fully 600 points into red territory (a fall of 4%). While action in the Orient has a disturbing tendency of being completely ignored by Europe and the US it would be a brave man who tried to pick a bottom of this little reversal just yet.
As mentioned in yesterday’s comment Credit Swaps are still very pricey and have not fallen in line with the equity market rally. This indicates that a lot of very clever people are not happy with unfolding events.
The FTSE 100 is called some 60 points off in early pre-market action at around the 3870 level as market makers try to factor in the US and Far East weakness. I would like to be able to say that this seems quite aggressive given the fact that the FTSE was looking quite firm in the face of afternoon weakness in the US. However if investors take fright then we may be in for another rout on the off.
Bottom picking is always a dangerous game but if the FTSE remains above the 3860 level for the Easter break then the momentum may be regained on everyone’s return. Unfortunately with markets closed in the UK for four days there may be a short term temptation to liquidate positions in fear of something happening whilst we are all away.
Spread Betting on Indices, 7 Apr 2009
Markets looking warm again this morning after the small sell off yesterday afternoon failed to find any follow through.
The FTSE 100 futures neatly closed the gap opened up at 3960 on last Wednesday’s close versus last Thursday’s opening (see yesterday’s comment). Punters had a good time of it yesterday holding on to index shorts in the US and UK markets until the evening and then reversing into longs for the late rally.
Today sees a bit of comfort drifting back for the bulls with the FTSE up around 25 points but the Dow Jones remains just below the psychological 8000 level and investors will be worrying that the recent failure to hold above this mark might weigh on traders sentiment. The current price of 7950 is still well up from the lows but there is the continuing fear that the G20 glamour may well turn out to be just so much fairy dust. Sentiment is a fickle thing and a move below 7730 today or 7790 tomorrow may well bring out the sellers once again.
In truth most markets are continuing to trade in the ranges set up over the last four or five months with few attempts to follow through on any break outs. Most of the currency crosses (aside from Yen) seem to have been about to break out on many occasions only to fall at the final hurdle. The Indices trade the same ground day after day and even the major commodities struggle to find impetus to clear away from constricting supports and resistances.
Spread Betting on Indices, 6 Apr 2009
Markets this morning are up but the FTSE is still struggling to make it up to the highs of Thursday at 4160 and there is a nasty little gap in the charts from Wednesday night – Thursday morning between 3960 and 3965 in the June Futures contract.
Markets made a valiant attempt to fill it on Friday getting to within 5 points of closure before the pressure from the US and Europe became too much to ignore. Nevertheless the fact remains that the DAX 30, Dow and S&P have all hit new recent highs this morning but the FTSE 100 is now 80 points shy of the peak on Thursday.
Price Update:
- The FTSE 100 closed last week up 130.8 points at 4029.7 (up 3.35%)
- Wall St (Dow) closed last week up 241.41 points at 8017.59 (up 3.1%)
- The Nasdaq closed last week up 76.67 points at 1621.87 (up 4.96%)
- The S&P 500 closed last week up 26.56 points at 842.5 (up 3.26%)
- The DAX closed last week up 181.44 points at 4384.99 (up 4.32%)
- The Nikkei closed last week up 122.87 points at 8749.84 (up 1.42%)
Also see:
Financial Spreads >>
"With FinancialSpreads.com you get all the normal advantages of Spread Betting plus..." >> read
Financial Spreads review.
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Spread Betting on Indices, 4 Apr 2009
Markets are actually quite peaceful this morning and this is becoming a factor of major moves these days. The next day sees a period of indecision as traders try to estimate the appetite for business at the new levels (be they higher or lower).
At the moment investors seem comfortable with the moves higher but we have seen too many attempts to the upside come to grief over the last year or so to be too overconfident just yet.
Clients are not convinced either and we have seen steady selling above 4100 in the FTSE 100 and 8000 in the Dow Jones as longs are liquidated and shorts set up. For the bulls the next target is just below 4200 in the FTSE – ie where the 1 year down trend line crosses through. Buyers have breached the medium term trend and volume resistance (which was between 3990 and 4050) and longer term investors will be hoping that more good news will be forthcoming.
Spread Betting on Indices, 2 Apr 2009
Markets look to be extending the rally of recent days and the sell-off of Friday/Monday is now a distant memory with the FTSE looking to trade above 4000 for the first time since February.
For those chartists amongst you a close around these opening quotes would also indicate a breach of one of the major downtrend lines in place since last August (and now going through at around 4000). The 4,000 level has its own psychological significance anyway and a breach may well be a big trigger to the buyers.
Having said all this, we are seeing heavy selling across all indices in early trade as punters seem unconvinced. Also, in truth, opposing extended moves in the markets over the last few months has paid substantial dividends for many a trader. The old adage of “Cut your losses and run your profits” would have cost a pretty penny in the recent past and many traders are now doing the exact opposite. At the moment it is paying off but on any real extended move clients would be in trouble.
The Dow does not seem to be getting as over enthusiastic as the FTSE as it continues to struggle to make it above the 7850 to 7920 resistance level. This area acted as strong support through January and early February and the market bounced off it 10 times in 20 twenty or so trading days.
When the support was finally breached it was the start of the big 1500 point move to the lows. If we can manage to break above 7920 (and even better 8000) confidence would take a real shot in the arm. Financial Spreads is currently quoting Wall Street at 7900-7904.
Spread Betting on Indices, 1 Apr 2009
The FTSE is a taking a more casual approach to things this morning as we expect a dip on the open of 20 points to 3900. Nothing too drastic after yesterday’s 4.3% rise. Despite a late sell off in US indices last night Europe is holding up well, especially since the end of the auto industry looks nigh. Even the new CEO of GM motors is putting a deadline on the firm.
Spread Betting on Indices, 31 Mar 2009
Yesterday’s profit taking eventually came to an end in US trade last night and although the market suffered quite a sell off yesterday with automakers and banks taking the brunt of the selling.
This morning markets are holding up well in the face of Obama’s tough stance on the US car industry.
The FTSE 100 is expected to be a little perkier this morning as we’re calling the index to open some 25 points higher at 3788.
A spark of good news came from Gfk Consumer Confidence earlier this morning. It jumped to a figure not seen since May last year showing a better than expected figure. So far this week we’ve seen a few glimmers of hope for the UK consumer and home owner. With mortgage repayments having come down, yesterday saw a saw rise in the number of mortgage approvals to 38k, when only 34k were expected. Tomorrow will see more UK housing data in the form of Halifax prices.
Spread Betting on Indices, 30 Mar 2009
Price Update:
- The FTSE 100 closed last week up 56.1 points at 3898.9 (up 1.46%)
- Wall St (Dow) closed last week up 497.8 points at 7776.18 (up 6.84%)
- The Nasdaq closed last week up 87.93 points at 1545.2 (up 6.03%)
- The S&P 500 closed last week up 47.4 points at 815.94 (up 6.17%)
- The DAX closed last week up 134.81 points at 4203.55 (up 3.31%)
- The Nikkei closed last week up 681.01 points at 8626.97 (up 8.57%)
Also see:
Financial Spreads >>
"With FinancialSpreads.com you get all the normal advantages of Spread Betting plus..." >> read
Financial Spreads review.
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Risk Warning: Spread betting carries a high level of risk to your capital. You may lose more than your initial investment. It may not be suitable for all investors. Only speculate with money that you can afford to lose. Please ensure you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent financial advice where necessary.
'Indices Spread Betting April 2009' by DB, updated 10-Apr-09
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Indices Spread Betting April 2009, updated 10-Apr-09
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Indices Spread Trading February 2009, updated 27-Feb-09
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Indices Spread Betting February 2009, updated 13-Feb-09
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Indices Spread Trading January 2009, updated 16-Jan-09
Index market news: Another day another decline and 4000 is looming. Yesterday we recorded the longest losing streak since 2004 as the news flow descends into...read article.
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Indices Spread Trading December 2008, updated 19-Dec-08
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Indices Spread Betting November 2008, updated 07-Nov-08
Index market news: The FTSE 100 is being called some 30 points to the good at around 4300 having traded as low as 4150 last night. It is probably inadvisable to...read article.
Indices Spread Trading October 2008, updated 26-Oct-08
Index market news: The bottom has well and truly been snipped out of the markets this morning and we are looking at a near 200 point fall in the FTSE on the open. The FTSE 100 is now back at the support levels mentioned yesterday...read article.
Indices Spread Betting October 2008, updated 10-Oct-08
Index market news: Today looks to be starting off as a complete bloodbath. The FTSE 100 is being called an astonishing 300 points lower on the open which will mean a massive 7% off yesterday?s close. The news that...read article.
Indices Spread Trading September 2008, updated 26-Sep-08
Index market news: The FTSE is looking to open at around 5135 and investors will be hoping that there is no follow through to attack the 5050 support. In reality we are likely to see low volumes causing volatile moves as liquidity on the Futures exchange...read article.
Indices Spread Betting September 2008, updated 12-Sep-08
Index market news: This morning the Miners are leading the way. They are all up around 4% to 5% and the sector remains an incredibly important supporting factor for the FTSE 100. Miners have fallen some...read article.
Indices Spread Trade August 2008, updated 29-Aug-08
Index market news: If the FTSE maintains these levels to close the week above 5600 then that could be seen as a good indication that higher prices are to come. However, this week's move has been on the back of low volume so investors remain...read article.
Indices Spread Betting August 2008, updated 15-Aug-08
Index market news: Trading ranges over the last month have been exceptional in the US spread betting markets with 250 points a day being quite normal for the Dow. The trend since mid July has...read article.
Indices Spread Trading July 2008, updated 01-Aug-08
Index market news: The FTSE is opening 50 points lower after the late action in the US (again) and our...read article.
Indices Spread Betting July 2008, updated 18-Jul-08
Index market news: The FTSE is looking to open around 50 points to the good this morning some 140 points off the lows at Midday yesterday but this still only leaves us at around the closing price of Tuesday and well below...read article.
Indices Financial Spread Bet July 2008, updated 04-Jul-08
Indices market news: The danger of jumping in now of course is that it could well be a little too early. The temptation must be great considering the market the FTSE has fallen some 900 points (14%) in the last 6 weeks, the old adage...read article.
Indices Financial Spread Trading June 2008, updated 20-Jun-08
Indices market news: Precious little reason to get involved on the buy side these days has left the FTSE 500 points off from the highs of last month. But with the foreign legions of mining and oil still propping us up to a certain extent there have been moments of light. Unfortunately for...read article.
Indices Financial Spread Betting June 2008, updated 06-Jun-08
Indices market news: With a new scent of confidence around even a poor number may be taken in the markets stride. In the meantime we do not expect much activity in the morning session after the opening levels are secured. The call on the FTSE 100 is for a rally to around 6025, 30 points higher than the close yesterday. The support at 5950 remains...read article.
Indices Spread Bet May 2008, updated 23-May-08
Indices market news: The FTSE 100 is struggling to maintain current levels as more sellers coming into the game over the past few days. The squeeze up to 6390 of last week now seems a distant memory but of course dealers are generally hopeful of...read article.
Indices Trading May 2008, updated 09-May-08
Indices market news: Indices are a tad weaker after the US indulged in one of its late night sell offs with the Dow Jones dropping 200 points from its highs and the S&P giving up on the 1400 level for now. The FTSE is called to come in 30 points lower at around...read article.
Indices Trading April 2008, updated 25-Apr-08
Indices market news: The trading range of the FTSE almost exactly matched the previous days efforts with the ultimate result also almost identical. The markets continue to wrestle with the 5970 to 6100 range and my comment about many traders waiting for one or the other to be defeated still remains in place. Yesterdays action was an absolute boon to FinancialSpreads.com clients who as mentioned in yesterdays comment have been heavy sellers at anything above...read article.
Indices Spread Bets April 2008, updated 11-Apr-08
Indices markets: Despite slightly negative taint to todays report, the FTSE 100 this morning has opened much better than expected causing a Gap higher on the open. Yesterdays reversal from the lows at around 3pm yesterday was so sharp and took many Financial Spreads clients by surprise that it could be a signal that...read article.
Indices March Spread Trading, updated 28-Mar-08
Indices markets: The FTSE 100 is likely to open almost unchanged at around the 5710 level having looked weaker overnight in the US late trading session but deciding, on reflection, to hold onto the gains of yesterday. As mentioned in yesterdays comment there is a small sense of confidence brewing with our Capital Spreads clients, not huge, but enough to be noticeable on our books. The next...read article.
Indices March Spread Betting, updated 14-Mar-08
Indices market information: The FTSE is reacting to the 400 point rally in the Dow last night with another 80 points to the upside as we regain the 5700 level with some ease. The FTSE 100 Spread is now at 5775-5776. Financial institutions are likely to be...read article.
Indices February Spread Trading, updated 29-Feb-08
Indices market information: Another 100+ point movement day on the FTSE yesterday as the markets rejected the break out (again) and slumped back below 6000. To their credit the Financial Spreads clients never believed in the break out and sold virtually anything above the 6000 level and were rewarded in...read article.
Real-time Indices Prices and Charts, updated 15-Feb-08
Indices pricing information: The FTSE rather disappointed yesterday after a very late sell off took us from 30 or so up on the day into negative territory. Today we are looking to come in just slightly to the downside at around the 5875 level. There is hope that...read article.
UK Indices Spread Trading, updated 01-Feb-08
UK Indices Spread Trading: The FTSE 100 Spread is called 30 up this morning at 5910-5911 which is just below a bit of a resistance level at 5920. For all of the bad news around it is wise to remember that...read article.
Spread Betting on Indices, updated 18-Jan-08
Compare Indices spreads. Free Indices spread trading information, where to find free Indices charts and prices, how to spread bet on Stock Market Indices and...read article.
Indices Trading Online, updated 21-Dec-07
Find out where you can Trade Indices Online for free plus your Indices trading questions answered, tips on getting free Indices charts, real time prices and...read article.
Indices Futures Trading, updated 07-Dec-07
Where to trade Indices Futures plus updated Indices trading news and the most popular Indices questions answered....read article.
Indices Broker, updated 23-Nov-07
Where to find free Indices Brokers plus regular Indices financial trading news as well as the most popular Indices questions answered....read article.
Indices Platform, updated 09-Nov-07
Where to find free Indices Platforms plus updated Indices trading news as well as the most popular Indices queries answered....read article.
Indices Software, updated 26-Oct-07
Where to find free Indices Software information plus updated Indices trading news as well as the most popular Indices queries answered....read article.
Indices Prices, updated 04-Feb-08
Where to find free Indices Prices plus updated Indices news as well as your top Indices questions answered....read article.
Selling the FTSE 100, updated 12-Dec-08
Q) Where can I Trade for Free on FTSE 100? Q) How to Spread Bet on FTSE 100? Q) Where can I find Free Live Prices on FTSE 100?...The Answers...read article.
Financial Spread Bet on Wall Street, updated 11-Dec-08
Q) Where can I Trade for Free on Wall Street? Q) How to Spread Bet on Wall Street? Q) Where can I find Free Live Prices on Wall Street? The Answers...read article.
Spread Bet on Stock Market Indices, updated 01-Dec-08
To spread bet on stock market indices you do so in the same way as other spreads bets. A number of spread betting firms offer both a daily and futures Index market...read article.
How to Spread Bet Stock Market Indices, updated 26-Aug-10
How to Spread Bet on Indices - an introduction to stock market betting. If you are looking for FTSE, Dow Jones, DAX or another major market like the NASDAQ and Nikkei, you're on the right website...read article.
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