Index Spread Trading: UK 100 Struggles Despite Strong US NFP Data
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Index Spread Trading: UK 100 Struggles Despite Strong US NFP Data

Index Spread Trading: UK 100 Struggles Despite Strong US NFP Data


The regular Financial Markets Update from Simon Denham of Financial Spreads.

For today's update >> Financial Markets.

Spread Betting 10 October 2011

Again, it was the Franco-German team that everybody is looking to for answers, and they came back pretty defiantly too.

French President Sarkozy has said that by the beginning of November, they will know exactly what needs to be done to tackle the three big Eurozone issues at the moment. Specifically these issues are preventing a Greek default, recapitalising banks, and fixing Europe's economic governance.

Although Sarkozy and German Chancellor Merkel claimed they couldn't give exact details of how they aim to resolve the above, it seems that things are going in the right direction, and they are at least in agreement with each other.

Whilst on the topic of banks, the Belgian/French lender Dexia, who suspended their shares last week, is to split into a ‘good’ and ‘bad’ bank.

The Belgian and French governments will take on the responsibility of the ‘bad’ bank's losses, but it will be supported by state guarantees such as €95bn in bonds and other Eurozone nations' sovereign debt.

Despite the better than expected Non Farm Payroll data released on Friday, the UK blue chip index spread trading market only managed to gain 12 points from the open and ended up closing the session at 5303.

After heavy losses on Monday and Tuesday, investors began to shrug off doubts over the stability of the global economy, and helped the FTSE 100 gain 3.6% on the week. It seems that the spread betting markets took Friday's downgrades on both Spain and Italy's credit ratings with a pinch of salt.

With the US Columbus Day Holiday and no British economic data due for release on Monday, investors will look ahead to Wednesday's British unemployment figures and the US FOMC meeting minutes from September 20-21.

Currency spread betting investors have taken positively to the Franco-German meeting regarding recapitalising banks and the Greek rescue, and the Dollar and Yen have taken the brunt of it this morning.

The Euro is having a tasty 150 pip rally versus the Dollar, now trading at $1.3538, and the Euro - Yen spread betting market is also seeing gains.

Let's not forget Fitch's downgrade of Italy and Spain's credit rating, which is obviously a negative factor to be taken into account. However, there is finally some indication of action coming from Eurozone leaders and so, at least in the short term, the Euro will enjoy this bear squeeze.

Gold was clinging on to the back of world markets on Friday, as optimism took over once the Non Farm Payroll data had been released, showing a better than expected figure.

Then, soon after the downgrade on Spain and Italy's credit rating, the precious metal lost its grip and plummeted, finally hitting the ground at $1637.6, after losing $11.8. At time of writing, the yellow brick has clawed back Fridays losses, and is trading up at $1659.8.

The much needed improvement of 103,000 jobs in the labour market helped crude oil traders forget about the double downgrade in Europe, and offered some consolation that things might be getting better.

Black gold finished the day up at $105.68 and, considering the stronger Dollar against the Euro and the slight decline in US equities, this was a pretty good result. Currently, Brent crude is continuing its rally, trading at $106.46.



The above comments do not constitute investment advice and neither Financial Spreads nor Clean Financial accept any responsibility for any use that may be made of them.


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'Index Spread Trading: UK 100 Struggles Despite Strong US NFP Data' edited by SD, updated 10-Oct-11




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