FTSE Spread Betting Market Rises as Final Greek Deadline Approaches
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FTSE Spread Betting Market Rises as Final Greek Deadline Approaches

FTSE Spread Betting Market Rises as Final Greek Deadline Approaches

Risk continues to remain attractive to investors who seem happy to add to their equity portfolios as they feel that a deal on Greek debt is imminent.

As negotiation deadlines slipped once again, the final last minute deadline continues to approach. In order to ratify any deal with bond holders, and to get through the further austerity measures being demanded by the troika, votes have to be passed in the Greek parliament before 15th February.

It comes as little wonder that negotiations have taken so long as all options have been discussed. In addition, the existing Greek administration is a mix of three different political parties, all with their own ideas and ambitions in the coming months with Greek elections due in April.

Despite what some in the market think about a Greek default and exit from the euro, political resolve from the likes of France and Germany has never been stronger and so the pressure is really mounting on the Greek government.

Today the troika is due to speak all three coalition leaders individually. This could be enough to push the deal making over the line and that's what investors are thinking which is pushing the indices spread trading markets higher.

Word in the bonds spread betting markets is that the private bond holders will take a 70% hit on their Greek bonds. However, the other key variable is to pass the next round of austerity through the Greek parliament in the face of continued mounting opposition from the population.

Today's one on one meetings might just achieve the latter and, for the bond holders, they have to appreciate that they are lucky not to be seeing an outright 100% write down and default.

So if the deal is actually achieved, what does that mean for the likes of Portugal and Ireland? Surely, they'll be thinking if Greece can take such a big write down why can't we?

Thankfully Portugal and Ireland are very different cases to Greece and have already been having quite a bit more success in getting their houses in order. As a result, the other bet that equity investors are making is that contagion will be averted.

So at the time of writing the FTSE spread betting market is a few points in the black this morning, above the 5900 level.

However, our spread betting account holders continue to oppose the upward trend in the belief that the rally has to come to an end at some point.

The feeling is that, as they continue to creep higher, the spread trading markets are just building themselves up for disappointment at some point and any correction when it does come will be even more severe.

For the bulls however the grind higher is only going to build, and for now with the 5900 hurdle being overcome the major psychological 6000 level isn't all that far away.

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'FTSE Spread Betting Market Rises as Final Greek Deadline Approaches' by DB, updated 08-Feb-12

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Risk Warning: Spread betting and CFD trading carry a high level of risk to your capital and you may lose more than your initial investment. Spread betting and CFD trading may not be suitable for all investors. Only speculate with money that you can afford to lose. Please ensure you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent financial advice where necessary.

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