French CAC Falls on Expectation of Banking Downgrades and Greek Default
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The regular Financial Markets Update from Simon Denham of Financial Spreads.
For today's update >> Financial Markets.
Spread Trading 12 September 2011
Traders have started the week with a sea of red as European indices are falling, particularly the French stock market which is being absolutely battered.
The French CAC 40 is now below the lows of August and so the index is only 15% or so from the lows of March 2009 following the last banking crisis. As a comparison the FTSE 100 is still over 30% off those lows.
For more on the struggling European banking sector please also see our feature: French Banking Stocks Tumble on Expectations of Downgrades and Greek Default.
The banking sector sell off this morning has brought the UK index down to 5100 at the time of writing, just above its recent lows.
Key near term support is at 5050, which looks dangerously like being tested, meanwhile to the upside resistance is rather further away, expected at 5200/85 and 5325.
Following on from the back end of last week, the shorters are still the main players in the FX spread betting market trading the Euro.
The single currency is trading at almost a seven month low against the Dollar, but more astonishingly, its lowest since 2001 against the Yen.
After all the talk last week of the German court deciding that funding the Greek rescue is legal, it appears now the Eurozone is preparing for a Greek default.
The Euro - Dollar forex pair is currently trading at $1.3559, which is below its new resistance level of $1.3650, so traders should watch for further potential downside.
Friday morning’s session saw many commodities spread betting markets lose a lot of ground as the Dollar strengthened and therefore they were more expensive in Dollar terms.
Whilst gold fell, it struggled to stay down as concerns over Greece defaulting on its debt obligation flared. Equity markets felt the brunt of this, with investors pulling their money out of riskier assets and throwing their cash into safe havens.
The yellow brick ultimately ended the day down $13.7 at $1855.5. At time of writing though, despite the falling equity markets, gold still seems to be out of favour, as it’s trading down further at $1835.0.
The crude oil spread betting market’s inverse correlation with the US Dollar was apparent on Friday. This came as traders put their money in the rediscovered currency safety haven, seeing as the Swiss Franc has now been capped and no longer has that hedging appeal.
So as the Dollar rallied, Brent slipped off and ended the day just over 150 points lower at $112.58. The losses are being extended at time of writing though, with the commodity trading down further at $110.91.
The above comments do not constitute investment advice and neither Financial Spreads nor Clean Financial accept any responsibility for any use that may be made of them.
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'French CAC Falls on Expectation of Banking Downgrades and Greek Default' edited by SD, updated 12-Sep-11
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