Dow Jones Spread Betting: Will Indices See a Year End Bull Run?
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Dow Jones Spread Betting: Will Indices See a Year End Bull Run?

Dow Jones Spread Betting: Will Indices See a Year End Bull Run?

The optimism shown by Asian markets overnight has only followed through to this morning’s European session to a certain degree.

We were calling the FTSE to open up as much as 50-60 points, but we only got a 30 or so point jump on the open.

It’s a gain nonetheless and the tentative buying we’ve seen seems to be putting the bulls in control for now. The question is whether we are seeing the commencement of a year end bull run or not.

The indices spread betting markets usually see a run higher start in November and December if you look back over time and each year we ask ourselves will it happen again this time.

With all that’s going on in Europe and the doom and gloom about growth prospects around the globe, not just the UK, this time might be different. It’s hard to see equities rushing higher in the current circumstances, but you can’t underestimate the resolve of the bulls come year end.

The Dow Jones spread betting market is usually the one to lead the charge higher and we saw evidence of this again last night.

Technical analysis of the index has shown that it has returned to the 200 day moving average on the daily chart and this has caused the usual expected congestion and pause for thought.

Bearish financial spread betting investors are continuing to call the Dows recovery of the past few weeks a ‘bear market rally’. They are yet to be proved correct as the rush back down again has yet to materialise and the longer we wait the more weight is added to the feeling of a year end rally.

The Dow is back above its 200 DMA but the FTSE still has a little way to go.

5700 is the level the UK market needs to overcome in order to get back above its own 200 DMA. For now this seems like quite a long way off even though we were above there only a couple of weeks ago.

The gains are slowly being eaten away this morning as the buying momentum seems to be drying up with the FTSE drifting below 5600 to 5575 at the time of writing.

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'Dow Jones Spread Betting: Will Indices See a Year End Bull Run?' by DB, updated 09-Nov-11

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Risk Warning: Spread betting and CFD trading carry a high level of risk to your capital and you may lose more than your initial investment. Spread betting and CFD trading may not be suitable for all investors. Only speculate with money that you can afford to lose. Please ensure you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent financial advice where necessary.

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