Currency Trading Markets
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Currency Trading Markets

Currency Trading Markets

The Daily Currency Trading report from currenciesdirect.com.

Currency Trading - 13 July 2010

Inflation the Key For The MPC?

Sterling weakened yesterday after the S&P said it was maintaining its negative outlook on UK's AAA credit rating.

Data released from the UK included a survey by GfK, which showed 58% of UK households expect economic conditions to deteriorate further, with nearly two-fifths of the respondents looking to cut back on consumption.

In addition, the final Q1 GDP reading showed economic activity expanded 0.3% from the last three-months of 2009, which was largely in-line with the initial forecast.

However, the growth rate slipped 0.2% from the previous year to mark the slowest pace of contraction since the third-quarter of 2008. Comments from the BoE's Posen that a continued UK recovery can not be guaranteed also weighed on the currency

The Euro consolidated well below two-month peaks against the Dollar as investors were cautious about the single currency ahead of Greece's return to capital markets for the first time since late April.

This along with Moody's cut in Portugal's rating to A1 with a stable outlook is going to continue to weigh on the euro in the short term and doesn't bode well ahead of the bank stress test results due next week.

The main focus today will be on UK CPI which is expected to moderate from 3.4% YoY to 3.1% YoY in June. Inflation figures will be key for future rate decisions from the MPC with committee member Andrew Sentance voicing his concerns recently on rising inflation.

German ZEW is expected to deteriorate further to 25.3 in July. Swiss combined PPI, Canada trade balance and US trade balance will also be released.



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Risk Warning: Currency Trading and Spread Betting carry a high level of risk to your capital, they may not be suitable for all investors. You may lose more than your initial investment. Only speculate with money that you can afford to lose. Please ensure you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent financial advice where necessary.

Article provided by Currencies Direct which is authorised and regulated by the Financial Services Authority.

'Currency Trading Markets' edited by Phil McHugh, updated 13-Jul-10




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Risk Warning: Please note that spread betting and CFD trading carry a high level of risk to your capital. You can lose more than your initial deposit. These products may not be suitable for all investors. Only speculate with money that you can afford to lose. Please ensure you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent financial advice where necessary.

* Tax law is subject to change or may differ if you pay tax in a jurisdiction other than the UK.

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