Oil had a choppy day yesterday looking for a break above $85 or below $82.80 in December Brent in several quite strong moves. All were ultimately defeated and we closed within 20 cents or so of Tuesday’s settlement. Punters are very unsettled wondering about the fabled $100 level
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Crude Oil Spread Trading, 17 Oct 07
Oil still pressures the highs with December Brent Crude Oil Market at 83.47-83.52 just 35 cents off the all time high. There is no evidence of any profit taking just yet and if some of the geo political events actually occur then we could be seeing a nasty little spike. Turkey is annoyed with the States already after the old 'going back over ancient history' activity concerning Armenian atrocities around the time of the First World War. So may not be as amenable as it might be to a little persuasion over Northern Iraq. A US pull out from Iraq will (everyone knows but seems afraid to say) leave a huge power vacuum. Turkey would love the oil rich north, Iran the Oil Rich East and Syria and Saudi the Oil Rich West and South. After the last four years would anyone step in to stop them?
Crude Oil Spread Trading, 8 Oct 07
Oil is becoming ever more fragmented with dealers looking to day trade on the current ranges. There seem to be good buyers below $77 but as soon as we get near to $79 or $80 per barrel the sellers gain sway. We will probably need an event to break out of the current range with the price this morning just drifting slightly lower to $78.54-78.59. How to spread bet on Oil.
'Crude Oil Prices' by DB, updated 04-Feb-08
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